Leiston vs Barwell – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Southern League Central Division Leiston - Barwell
Result
3:4
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Hickey B. (Pen),
  • 27', 0 - 2, Chambers A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 72', 0 - 3, Hickey B. (Pen),
  • 76', 1 - 3, Quantrell G. ,
  • 78', 2 - 3, Quantrell G. ,
  • 84', 2 - 4, Lita L. ,
  • 88', 3 - 4, Loza J. ,

Chances of winning


Leiston
46.1%
Draw
25.3%
Barwell
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 24.3% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 24% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiston's form might have worsened.
  • Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barwell's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barwell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leiston - Barwell Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.67)
    3.61
    (3.74)
    3.19
    (4.29)
    9.5%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leiston won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recently Barwell have a series of home games.
    • Leiston will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Leiston won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:19 (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leiston won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiston - Barwell were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Barwell - Leiston 0:0
    10.02.2024 Leiston - Barwell 1:2
    30.09.2023 Barwell - Leiston 2:3
    08.04.2023 Leiston - Barwell 2:0
    06.02.2023 Barwell - Leiston 2:3
    Latest results of Leiston
    08.03.2025 Sudbury Town - Leiston 1:2
    01.03.2025 Leiston - Kettering Town 0:2
    15.02.2025 Leiston - Spalding United 2:1
    11.02.2025 Leiston - St Ives Town 2:2
    Latest results of Barwell
    08.03.2025 Barwell - Stamford 0:1
    22.02.2025 Sudbury Town - Barwell 1:1
    15.02.2025 Barwell - Stratford Town 2:1
    English Southern League Central Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Harborough963018:51321
    2Kettering952218:12617
    3Alvechurch952211:5617
    4Spalding United952218:14417
    5Bishop's Stortford951317:71016
    6Quorn951317:10716
    7Halesowen943212:11115
    8Real Bedford942313:10314
    9Redditch942312:11114
    10St. Ives1034314:11313
    11Leiston934214:14013
    12Banbury933316:16012
    13Needham Market933311:13-212
    14Bury Town93158:12-410
    15Barwell931511:16-510
    16Stourbridge923411:14-39
    17Bromsgrove930610:18-89
    18Worcester915310:11-18
    19Stratford822411:15-48
    20Sudbury82156:17-117
    21Royston813410:16-66
    22Stamford90454:14-104

          Promotion ~ National League North
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          Relegation