Result
2:3
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Southern League Premier Central - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Hakeem Z. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, Mills A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 62', 1 - 2, Sayer H. ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 2, Mancinelli P. ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 3, Clemons W. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Barwell
33% | Draw
25% | Leiston
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barwell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barwell - Leiston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.47) |
3.64 ↓
(3.72) |
2.17 ↓
(2.47) |
9.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 2.
- Barwell is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Leiston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Leiston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barwell won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Barwell won against Leiston?
Barwell has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leiston won against Barwell?
Leiston has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barwell - Leiston were as follows:
18.10.2025
Leiston
-
Barwell
2:2
15.03.2025
Leiston
-
Barwell
3:4
21.09.2024
Barwell
-
Leiston
0:0
10.02.2024
Leiston
-
Barwell
1:2
30.09.2023
Barwell
-
Leiston
2:3
Latest results of Barwell
Latest results of Leiston
English Southern League Central Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Harborough | 40 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 80:32 | 48 | 93 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 40 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 97:48 | 49 | 83 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 39 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 78:43 | 35 | 75 |
| 4 | Kettering | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 72:51 | 21 | 67 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 40 | 19 | 9 | 12 | 80:60 | 20 | 66 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 39 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 61:49 | 12 | 66 |
| 7 | Redditch | 39 | 20 | 5 | 14 | 61:57 | 4 | 65 |
| 8 | Quorn | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 76:64 | 12 | 64 |
| 9 | Worcester | 40 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 58:38 | 20 | 61 |
| 10 | Stratford | 40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 60:52 | 8 | 60 |
| 11 | Leiston | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 61:55 | 6 | 58 |
| 12 | Banbury | 39 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 49:52 | -3 | 56 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 58:52 | 6 | 55 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 40 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 46:51 | -5 | 49 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 51:63 | -12 | 48 |
| 16 | Stourbridge | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 53:67 | -14 | 44 |
| 17 | Bromsgrove | 40 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 49:69 | -20 | 41 |
| 18 | Stamford | 39 | 11 | 7 | 21 | 34:64 | -30 | 40 |
| 19 | St. Ives | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 48:71 | -23 | 37 |
| 20 | Barwell ✔ | 40 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 49:81 | -32 | 32 |
| 21 | Royston ✔ | 40 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 35:78 | -43 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury ✔ | 40 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 47:106 | -59 | 25 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Barwell is Relegated to
Royston is Relegated to
Sudbury is Relegated to
