Barwell vs Leiston – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Southern League Premier Central - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Hakeem Z. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Mills A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 62', 1 - 2, Sayer H. ,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Mancinelli P. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Clemons W. ,

Chances of winning


Barwell
33%
Draw
25%
Leiston
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 24.9% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 24.1% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barwell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barwell - Leiston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.47)
    3.64
    (3.72)
    2.17
    (2.47)
    9.8%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 2.
    • Barwell is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Leiston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Leiston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barwell won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barwell - Leiston were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Leiston - Barwell 2:2
    15.03.2025 Leiston - Barwell 3:4
    21.09.2024 Barwell - Leiston 0:0
    10.02.2024 Leiston - Barwell 1:2
    30.09.2023 Barwell - Leiston 2:3
    Latest results of Barwell
    31.01.2026 Banbury United - Barwell 1:0
    17.01.2026 Barwell - Real Bedford 0:2
    03.01.2026 Spalding United - Barwell 3:0
    27.12.2025 Barwell - Quorn 2:2
    Latest results of Leiston
    03.02.2026 Bury Town - Leiston 1:1
    31.01.2026 Leiston - Royston Town 1:1
    24.01.2026 Harborough Town - Leiston 3:2
    20.01.2026 Leiston - Alvechurch 3:3
    17.01.2026 Leiston - Stourbridge 0:0
    English Southern League Central Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spalding United33227487:375073
    2Harborough30216357:233469
    3Real Bedford30186661:352660
    4Quorn331661168:561254
    5Redditch321641248:46252
    6Halesowen31149863:471651
    7Needham Market32149949:43651
    8Worcester321481050:311950
    9Leiston321212854:441048
    10Banbury301461042:37548
    11Kettering291361049:41845
    12Bury Town331291248:44445
    13Stratford311261342:43-142
    14Bishop's Stortford321261446:50-442
    15Bromsgrove32971642:60-1834
    16Stourbridge327121341:55-1433
    17Alvechurch30951634:41-732
    18St. Ives32881639:56-1732
    19Barwell33881742:63-2132
    20Stamford30761724:51-2727
    21Sudbury32572039:83-4422
    22Royston33392130:69-3918

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