Basconia vs Sestao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
20/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Alba A. F. B. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Larrea B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 3 - 0, ,
  • 82', 3 - 1, Fernandez O. ,

Chances of winning


Basconia
17.4%
Draw
26.3%
Sestao
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.5% 30.3% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 29.6% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basconia's form might have worsened.
  • Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sestao's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sestao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Basconia - Sestao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.28
    (3.88)
    3.49
    (3)
    1.63
    (1.97)
    9.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Sestao is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basconia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Basconia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    Latest results of Basconia
    14.12.2025 Tudelano - Basconia 1:2
    06.12.2025 Basconia - Eibar B 1:1
    29.11.2025 Mutilvera - Basconia 1:1
    22.11.2025 Basconia - UD Logroñés 3:3
    15.11.2025 Ebro - Basconia 1:0
    Latest results of Sestao
    14.12.2025 Sestao - Gernika 2:2
    07.12.2025 Utebo - Sestao 0:0
    30.11.2025 Sestao - SD Logroñés 1:1
    22.11.2025 Sestao - Eibar B 1:0
    15.11.2025 Beasain - Sestao 1:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union25158242:202253
    2Tudelano25136643:271645
    3Alaves B25128529:141544
    4Utebo FC25135745:321344
    5UD Logrones25125852:272541
    6Sestao25109628:23539
    7Gernika25115927:26138
    8Ebro25813432:221037
    9Eibar B251051026:30-435
    10Amorebieta2597926:25134
    11Basconia2579933:34-130
    12Naxara25861128:35-730
    13SD Logrones25612718:28-1030
    14Ejea25771126:37-1128
    15Mutilvera25751324:41-1726
    16Beasain254101125:34-922
    17Alfaro25451620:42-2217
    18Zaragoza B25451619:46-2717

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation