Result
3:1
20/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Alba A. F. B. ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Larrea B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 82', 3 - 1, Fernandez O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Basconia 17.4% | Draw 26.3% | Sestao 56.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basconia's form might have worsened.Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sestao's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sestao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Basconia - Sestao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.28 ↑ (3.88) |
3.49 ↑ (3) |
1.63 ↓ (1.97) |
9.1% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Sestao is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basconia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basconia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Basconia won against Sestao?
Basconia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sestao won against Basconia?
Sestao has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basconia - Sestao were as follows:
Latest results of Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 42:20 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Tudelano | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 43:27 | 16 | 45 |
| 3 | Alaves B | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 29:14 | 15 | 44 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | UD Logrones | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 52:27 | 25 | 41 |
| 6 | Sestao | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Gernika | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Ebro | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 37 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Amorebieta | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 26:25 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Basconia | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Naxara | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 30 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 18:28 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Ejea | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Mutilvera | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Beasain | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Alfaro | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20:42 | -22 | 17 |
| 18 | Zaragoza B | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation