Result
3:2
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Koloto G. ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 0, Gamba N. (Own goal),
- 27', 2 - 1, Pihlstrom E. ⚽,
- 29', 3 - 1, Kanoute M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 67', 3 - 2, Pihlstrom E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Basel II 50% | Draw 23.8% | Lugano II 26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basel II's performance.Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basel II that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Basel II - Lugano II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↓ (2.12) |
3.87 ↑ (3.62) |
3.51 ↑ (2.8) |
8.8% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lugano II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Basel II could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Basel II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel II won against Lugano II?
Basel II has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano II won against Basel II?
Lugano II has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel II - Lugano II were as follows:
19.04.2025
Basel II
-
Lugano II
0:2
19.10.2024
Lugano II
-
Basel II
1:2
11.05.2024
Lugano II
-
Basel II
2:4
04.11.2023
Basel II
-
Lugano II
3:0
Latest results of Basel II
Latest results of Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kriens | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 38:13 | 25 | 29 |
2 | Bruhl | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 26:13 | 13 | 28 |
3 | Bavois | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26:15 | 11 | 26 |
4 | Young Boys II | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 23 |
5 | Basel II | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 29:21 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Biel | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Cham | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 26:24 | 2 | 17 |
8 | Lausanne II | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 16 |
9 | Schaffhausen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 15 |
10 | Zurich II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25:26 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Luzern II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26:30 | -4 | 14 |
12 | Breitenrain | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
13 | Bulle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Kreuzlingen | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Lugano II | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17:26 | -9 | 12 |
16 | Paradiso | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 24:37 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Grand-Saconnex | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 21:31 | -10 | 9 |
18 | Vevey | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7:26 | -19 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Challenge League
Relegation