Result
3:2
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Koloto G. ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 0, Gamba N. (Own goal),
- 27', 2 - 1, Pihlstrom E. ⚽,
- 29', 3 - 1, Kanoute M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 67', 3 - 2, Pihlstrom E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Basel II 50% | Draw 23.8% | Lugano II 26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basel II's performance.Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basel II that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Basel II - Lugano II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↓ (2.12) |
3.87 ↑ (3.62) |
3.51 ↑ (2.8) |
8.8% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lugano II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Basel II could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Basel II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel II won against Lugano II?
Basel II has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano II won against Basel II?
Lugano II has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel II - Lugano II were as follows:
19.04.2025
Basel II
-
Lugano II
0:2
19.10.2024
Lugano II
-
Basel II
1:2
11.05.2024
Lugano II
-
Basel II
2:4
04.11.2023
Basel II
-
Lugano II
3:0
Latest results of Basel II
Latest results of Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kriens | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 54:24 | 30 | 45 |
| 2 | Bruhl | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 43:22 | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | Bavois | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 41:20 | 21 | 39 |
| 4 | Young Boys II | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Biel | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 33 |
| 6 | Basel II | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 41:30 | 11 | 31 |
| 7 | Schaffhausen | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 | Zurich II | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 33:35 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 | Cham | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 24 |
| 10 | Luzern II | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 44:42 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | Lugano II | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
| 12 | Kreuzlingen | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 21 |
| 13 | Lausanne II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 37:41 | -4 | 20 |
| 14 | Breitenrain | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 15 | Bulle | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 19 |
| 16 | Paradiso | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 34:48 | -14 | 18 |
| 17 | Grand-Saconnex | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 37:48 | -11 | 15 |
| 18 | Vevey | 19 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12:52 | -40 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Challenge League
Relegation