Result
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Basel II
50% | Draw
23.8% | Lugano II
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basel II's performance.Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basel II that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Basel II - Lugano II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.12) |
3.85 ↑
(3.62) |
3.5 ↑
(2.8) |
9.1%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lugano II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Basel II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel II won against Lugano II?
Basel II has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano II won against Basel II?
Lugano II has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel II - Lugano II were as follows:
19.04.2025
Basel II
-
Lugano II
0:2
19.10.2024
Lugano II
-
Basel II
1:2
11.05.2024
Lugano II
-
Basel II
2:4
04.11.2023
Basel II
-
Lugano II
3:0
Latest results of Basel II
Latest results of Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bruhl | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Bavois | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Kriens | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21:10 | 11 | 17 |
| 4 | Young Boys II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Biel | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Lausanne II | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 22:20 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Breitenrain | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Luzern II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Cham | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Basel II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16:15 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Lugano II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | Schaffhausen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 9 |
| 13 | Bulle | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17:20 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Kreuzlingen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:20 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 | Zurich II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 8 |
| 16 | Paradiso | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Grand-Saconnex | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 3 |
| 18 | Vevey | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Challenge League
Relegation
