Basel II vs Lugano II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Promotion League Basel II - Lugano II
Result
3:2
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Promotion League

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Koloto G. ,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Gamba N. (Own goal),
  • 27', 2 - 1, Pihlstrom E. ,
  • 29', 3 - 1, Kanoute M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 67', 3 - 2, Pihlstrom E. ,

Chances of winning


Basel II
50%
Draw
23.8%
Lugano II
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 25% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 25.7% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basel II's performance.
  • Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basel II that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Basel II - Lugano II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.12)
    3.87
    (3.62)
    3.51
    (2.8)
    8.8%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lugano II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Basel II could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Basel II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Basel II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Basel II - Lugano II were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Basel II - Lugano II 0:2
    19.10.2024 Lugano II - Basel II 1:2
    11.05.2024 Lugano II - Basel II 2:4
    04.11.2023 Basel II - Lugano II 3:0
    Latest results of Basel II
    20.09.2025 Basel II - Biel-Bienne 1:3
    13.09.2025 Basel II - Bavois 1:4
    06.09.2025 Young Boys II - Basel II 0:0
    30.08.2025 Basel II - Paradiso 5:0
    23.08.2025 Grand-Saconnex - Basel II 1:1
    Latest results of Lugano II
    21.09.2025 Lugano II - Bulle 1:1
    17.09.2025 Lugano II - Luzern II 2:2
    14.09.2025 Zurich II - Lugano II 1:2
    30.08.2025 Brühl - Lugano II 4:1
    23.08.2025 Lugano II - Vevey 0:0
    Swiss Promotion League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kriens1192038:132529
    2Bruhl1291226:131328
    3Bavois1282226:151126
    4Young Boys II1272325:19623
    5Basel II1255229:21820
    6Biel1261528:23519
    7Cham1252526:24217
    8Lausanne II1251630:25516
    9Schaffhausen1243519:19015
    10Zurich II1243525:26-115
    11Luzern II1142526:30-414
    12Breitenrain1242616:19-314
    13Bulle1234522:27-513
    14Kreuzlingen1234515:26-1113
    15Lugano II1226417:26-912
    16Paradiso1224624:37-1310
    17Grand-Saconnex1223721:31-109
    18Vevey120397:26-190

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