Lugano II vs Basel II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
11/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Promotion League

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Uruejoma M. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Tiraboschi I. ,
  • 26', 2 - 1, Ajdin G. ,
  • 45+1', 3 - 1, Frizzi R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 73', 3 - 2, Senaya E. ,
  • 87', 4 - 2, Piffero D. ,

Chances of winning


Lugano II
28.7%
Draw
21.7%
Basel II
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.2% 22.3% 52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 21.9% 53.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Basel II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Lugano II - Basel II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.19
    (3.69)
    4.22
    (4.16)
    1.85
    (1.77)
    9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Lugano II - Basel II?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugano II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Lugano II (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Lugano II (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Lugano II (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Lugano II (4.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Lugano II (5.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugano II (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4).
    • In recent matches, Lugano II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Basel II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Basel II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Basel II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano II - Basel II were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Basel II - Lugano II 3:2
    19.04.2025 Basel II - Lugano II 0:2
    19.10.2024 Lugano II - Basel II 1:2
    11.05.2024 Lugano II - Basel II 2:4
    04.11.2023 Basel II - Lugano II 3:0
    Latest results of Lugano II
    08.04.2026 Lugano II - Zurich II 0:0
    02.04.2026 Bulle - Lugano II 2:0
    21.03.2026 Luzern II - Lugano II 4:2
    15.03.2026 Lugano II - Brühl 4:2
    07.03.2026 Vevey - Lugano II 1:3
    Latest results of Basel II
    02.04.2026 Biel-Bienne - Basel II 1:2
    28.03.2026 Bavois - Basel II 0:2
    21.03.2026 Basel II - Young Boys II 1:0
    14.03.2026 Paradiso - Basel II 2:3
    07.03.2026 Basel II - Grand-Saconnex 0:1
    Swiss Promotion League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kriens29223489:375269
    2Bruhl29205479:374265
    3Biel29175768:402856
    4Basel II29157758:441452
    5Young Boys II30157864:451952
    6Bavois291541056:411549
    7Schaffhausen291351140:40044
    8Cham291261153:54-142
    9Bulle291151358:57138
    10Zurich II291081145:49-438
    11Luzern II29891268:71-333
    12Lugano II29891239:64-2533
    13Breitenrain29881340:45-532
    14Grand-Saconnex297101259:61-231
    15Kreuzlingen297101237:59-2231
    16Paradiso296101345:59-1428
    17Lausanne II30822053:77-2426
    18Vevey29152323:94-715

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