Result
1:0
05/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (357/442) | 81% (340/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (357/442) | 81% (340/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (59/89) | 69% (75/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (21/29) | 56% (14/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Tsunemoto K. ↓, Ruegg K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Shaqiri X. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Traore B. ⚽, Salah I. (A),
- 61', Imourane H. ↓, Abrashi A. ↑,
- 61', Plange L. ↓, Tsimba F. ↑,
- 66', Traore B. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
- 66', Leroy L. ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
- 73', Abels D. ↓, Krasniqi S. ↑,
- 74', Mikulic L. 🟨,
- 75', Frey M. 🟨,
- 82', Asp J. ↓, Clemente O. ↑,
- 85', Koloto G. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
- 90+4', Cisse M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ngom M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Abrashi A. 🟥,
- 90+5', Koindredi K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Basel
54.8% | Draw
24.6% | Grasshoppers
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basel's form might have worsened.Grasshoppers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grasshoppers than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Basel - Grasshoppers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.49) |
3.82 ↓
(4.43) |
4.55 ↓
(5.58) |
6.6%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Basel - Grasshoppers?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Grasshoppers will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 78.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Basel will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Basel is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Grasshoppers?
Basel has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grasshoppers won against Basel?
Grasshoppers has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Grasshoppers were as follows:
23.11.2025
Grasshoppers
-
Basel
1:1
02.08.2025
Basel
-
Grasshoppers
2:1
03.04.2025
Basel
-
Grasshoppers
2:1
14.12.2024
Basel
-
Grasshoppers
0:1
03.08.2024
Grasshoppers
-
Basel
0:3
Latest results of Grasshoppers
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 71:33 | 38 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Lugano ✔ | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 47:37 | 10 | 50 |
| 4 | Basel ✔ | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Sion | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:55 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Luzern | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 58:56 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45:49 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Servette ✔ | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 34:80 | -46 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
