Result
1:2
20/04/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Australia | Stan Sport |
Croatia | Arena Sport |
Finland | Viaplay |
Germany | RTL |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV |
Sweden | Viaplay |
United-kingdom | BT Sport |
Chances of winning
Nice 63.4% | Draw 22.4% | Basel 14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Nice - Basel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.5 ↓ (1.52) |
4.26 ↑ (4.04) |
6.64 ↑ (6.39) |
5.3% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nice - Basel?
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 41 - 80.4%). Basel will win (votes: 2 - 3.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 69.5% – 91.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
- Nice has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a good chance of semis (88%), a chance of final (33%), a chance of win league (17%).
- Basel has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a small chance of semis (12%), a very small chance of final (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 53, big importance 73, match rating 63. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Nice is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Basel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Basel have a series of home games.
- In this match Nice is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Nice: Atal Y.
(Injury)
Beka Beka A.
(Injury)
Diop S.
(Injury)
Lotomba J.
(Ankle Injury)
Pepe N.
(Knee Injury)
Viti M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Basel: Comas A.
(Thigh Injury)
Frei F.
(Back Injury)
Lopez S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Nice: Ndayishimiye Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Basel: Calafiori R.
(Injury)
Hitz M.
(Illness)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Nice won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Basel?
Nice has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Nice?
Basel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Basel were as follows:
13.04.2023
Basel
-
Nice
2:2
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Zrinjski | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
2 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
4 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
5 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
6 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
10 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
12 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
13 | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
14 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
15 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
16 | Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
17 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
18 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
20 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
21 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
23 | Rijeka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
24 | Omonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
25 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
26 | Hamrun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
27 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
28 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
29 | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
30 | Shkendija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
31 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
32 | SK Rapid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
33 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
34 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
35 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
36 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)