Result
1:3
13/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 6
- Referee: Tschudi L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 3.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (256/337) | 83% (347/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 3.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 3.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (256/337) | 83% (347/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 58% (32/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (84/132) | 76% (79/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.98 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Shaqiri X. ⚽,
- 36', Meichtry F. 🟨,
- 40', Reichmuth N. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 2, Ajeti Al. ⚽, Shaqiri X. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Meichtry F. ↓, Imeri K. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 2, Bertone L. (Pen),
- 65', Salah I. ↓, Junior Ze ↑,
- 65', Barisic A. ↓, Adjetey J. ↑,
- 72', Reichmuth N. ↓, Matoshi V. ↑,
- 72', Ibayi C. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
- 73', Heule M. 🟨,
- 75', Ajeti Al. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
- 77', Montolio G. 🟨,
- 79', Montolio G. 🟥,
- 79', Rastoder E. ↓, Bamert J. ↑,
- 84', Kait M. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
- 85', Metinho 🟨,
- 86', Otele P. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
- 90+1', Matoshi V. 🟨,
- 90+3', Broschinski M. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Shaqiri X. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Thun
16.9% | Draw
21.7% | Basel
61.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thun's form might have worsened.Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-17.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Thun - Basel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.28 ↑
(2.85) |
5.44 ↑
(3.65) |
1.82 ↓
(2.1) |
-12.9%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Thun - Basel?
Users Predictions:
Basel will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Basel will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 2.
- Thun is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Basel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.
- Basel could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Basel: Leroy L.
(Yellow Cards)
Traore B.
(Leg Injury)
van Breemen F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thun won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:44. (average 1.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.9:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Basel?
Thun has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Thun?
Basel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thun - Basel were as follows:
11.01.2025
Basel
-
Thun
2:0
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Gallen | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Thun | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Zurich | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Basel | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Sion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Luzern | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Servette | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Lugano | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Lausanne | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
