Thun vs Basel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Super League Thun - Basel
13/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Thun
26.9%
Draw
24.1%
Basel
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 24.9% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 25.2% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Thun - Basel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.85)
    3.89
    (3.65)
    1.93
    (2.1)
    6.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 2.
    • Thun is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Basel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.
    • Basel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thun won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:44. (average 1.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.9:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Thun - Basel were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Basel - Thun 2:0
    Latest results of Thun
    30.08.2025 Thun - Grasshoppers 1:1
    23.08.2025 Zürich - Thun 0:4
    17.08.2025 Breitenrain Bern - Thun 1:0
    09.08.2025 Luzern - Thun 1:2
    03.08.2025 Thun - Lausanne-Sport 2:1
    Latest results of Basel
    30.08.2025 Sion - Basel 0:1
    27.08.2025 Copenhagen - Basel 2:0
    20.08.2025 Basel - Copenhagen 1:1
    16.08.2025 Biel-Bienne - Basel 1:6
    10.08.2025 Lugano - Basel 3:1
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun541011:4713
    2St. Gallen540113:4912
    3Basel53029:729
    4Young Boys52218:718
    5Luzern52218:718
    6Sion42117:347
    7Zurich52128:10-27
    8Grasshoppers50327:9-23
    9Lausanne41036:8-23
    10Lugano41035:10-53
    11Servette40225:10-52
    12Winterthur50236:14-82

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