Result
1:2
03/08/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS
- Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
Chances of winning
Tobol Kostanay
29.4% | Draw
25.3% | Basel
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tobol Kostanay - Basel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↑
(2.83) |
3.71 ↑
(3.29) |
2.07 ↓
(2.3) |
6.5%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tobol Kostanay - Basel?
Users Predictions:
Basel will win
(33 of 41 users predict this - 80.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 92.62%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-1.
- Tobol in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Basel is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Basel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Basel will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Tobol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Basel?
Tobol Kostanay has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Tobol Kostanay?
Basel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Basel were as follows:
27.07.2023
Basel
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:3
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
