Result
22/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Winterthur
22.3% | Draw
22.1% | Basel
55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Winterthur - Basel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↑
(4.14) |
4.25 ↓
(4.26) |
1.69 ↓
(1.69) |
6.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
- Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Winterthur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Basel is the team to beat.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 17:55. (average 0.9:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 1.1:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Basel?
Winterthur has won 0 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Winterthur?
Basel has won 9 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Winterthur - Basel were as follows:
07.12.2025
Winterthur
-
Basel
1:2
18.10.2025
Basel
-
Winterthur
3:0
12.07.2025
Basel
-
Winterthur
1:1
30.03.2025
Winterthur
-
Basel
0:2
02.11.2024
Basel
-
Winterthur
5:0
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 71:33 | 38 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Lugano ✔ | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 47:37 | 10 | 50 |
| 4 | Basel ✔ | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Sion | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:55 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Luzern | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 58:56 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45:49 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Servette ✔ | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 34:80 | -46 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
