Result
0:2
22/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 31
- Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (256/331) | 82% (365/443) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (256/331) | 82% (365/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (14/41) | 60% (31/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (63/100) | 69% (75/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.17 | 2.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Koloto G. 🟨,
- 7', Buess R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 12', Ruegg K. ↓, van Breemen F. ↑,
- 15', 0 - 1, Salah I. ⚽, Traore B. (A),
- 19', Kryeziu M. 🟨,
- 19', Metinho 🟨,
- 20', Kryeziu M. ↓, Arnold R. ↑,
- 23', van Breemen F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Koloto G. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
- 46', Bacanin A. ↓, Shaqiri X. ↑,
- 46', Metinho ↓, Leroy L. ↑,
- 57', Arnold R. 🟨,
- 57', Vouilloz N. 🟨,
- 67', Buess R. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
- 67', Zuffi L. ↓, Kasami P. ↑,
- 68', Muhl L. ↓, Cueni S. ↑,
- 69', Koindredi K. ↓, Kacuri D. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 2, Traore B. ⚽,
- 85', van Breemen F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Winterthur 22.4% | Draw 22.4% | Basel 55.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Winterthur - Basel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.16 ↑ (4.14) |
4.19 ↓ (4.26) |
1.7 ↑ (1.69) |
6.6% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Winterthur - Basel?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Winterthur will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Basel will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 54% – 99.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
- Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Basel is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Winterthur: Diaby S.
(Inactive)
Durrer A.
(Inactive)
Stillhart B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Basel: Kaio Eduardo
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Winterthur: Burkart N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Basel: Akahomen M.
(Inactive)
Tsunemoto K.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 17:55. (average 0.9:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 1.1:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Basel?
Winterthur has won 0 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Winterthur?
Basel has won 9 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Winterthur - Basel were as follows:
07.12.2025
Winterthur
-
Basel
1:2
18.10.2025
Basel
-
Winterthur
3:0
12.07.2025
Basel
-
Winterthur
1:1
30.03.2025
Winterthur
-
Basel
0:2
02.11.2024
Basel
-
Winterthur
5:0
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 32 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 72:36 | 36 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 62:38 | 24 | 59 |
| 3 | Lugano ✔ | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 49:38 | 11 | 54 |
| 4 | Basel ✔ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 50:42 | 8 | 53 |
| 5 | Sion ✔ | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | Young Boys ✔ | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 64:59 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Luzern ✔ | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 62:59 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | Servette ✔ | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 56:56 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Lausanne ✔ | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 47:54 | -7 | 39 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 45:62 | -17 | 34 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38:65 | -27 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 35:84 | -49 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Sion is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Young Boys is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Luzern is Super League (Relegation Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Lausanne is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )