Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 16
- Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.56 | 3.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (249/326) | 83% (365/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.56 | 3.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 3.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 50 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (249/326) | 83% (365/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (71/102) | 74% (132/178) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (19/26) | 48% (12/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.83 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Shaqiri X. ⚽, Soticek M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Schneider R. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Hunziker A. ⚽, Maluvunu E. (A),
- 60', Traore B. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
- 65', Otele P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Jankewitz A. ↓, Cueni S. ↑,
- 69', Arnold R. 🟨,
- 73', Zuffi L. 🟨,
- 73', Leroy L. ↓, Bacanin A. ↑,
- 73', Otele P. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
- 77', Hunziker A. ↓, Momoh F. ↑,
- 77', Rohner F. ↓, Martins M. ↑,
- 87', Soticek M. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
- 89', Dansoko B. ↓, Maksutaj L. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Tsunemoto K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Winterthur
13.7% | Draw
17.9% | Basel
68.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (+1.8%)The ML Model estimate for Basel aligns with the current prediction.
Winterthur - Basel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.8 ↑
(5.83) |
5.24 ↑
(5.19) |
1.37 ↓
(1.44) |
6.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Winterthur - Basel?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Winterthur will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Basel will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Basel (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +1 - Basel (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Basel (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Basel is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Winterthur: Burkart N.
(Injury)
Chiappetta C.
(Inactive)
Luthi L.
(Thigh Injury)
Sahitaj L.
(Injury)
Stillhart B.
(Injury)
Ulrich D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:53. (average 0.9:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 1.1:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Basel?
Winterthur has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Winterthur?
Basel has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Winterthur - Basel were as follows:
18.10.2025
Basel
-
Winterthur
3:0
12.07.2025
Basel
-
Winterthur
1:1
30.03.2025
Winterthur
-
Basel
0:2
02.11.2024
Basel
-
Winterthur
5:0
26.10.2024
Winterthur
-
Basel
0:6
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 26 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 60:28 | 32 | 61 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 47 |
| 3 | Lugano | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:31 | 12 | 46 |
| 4 | Sion | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 39:30 | 9 | 40 |
| 5 | Basel | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 52:52 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Luzern | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 52:49 | 3 | 33 |
| 8 | Zurich | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 31 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Servette | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 44:51 | -7 | 28 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 34:47 | -13 | 21 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 29:75 | -46 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
