Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Vardar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football North Macedonian 1 MFL Bashkimi Kumanovo - Vardar
Result
0:0
29/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. MFL - Round 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Aydogan O. 🟨,
  • 39', Memeti R. 🟨,
  • 44', Castaneda D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Murati R. 🟨,
  • 59', Castaneda D. , Zakaric G. ,
  • 63', Avornyo E. 🟨,
  • 65', Lichina E. 🟨,
  • 66', Hadzic N. , Aleksovski F. ,
  • 72', Danev D. , Talevski M. ,
  • 72', Todorovski D. , Mishkovski N. ,
  • 75', Memeti R. , Demiri A. ,
  • 81', Senghor F. 🟨,
  • 89', Aydogan O. , Mislimi M. ,
  • 89', Askar H. , Jahja A. ,
  • 89', Avornyo E. , Manasievski D. ,
  • 89', Mato R. , Spahiu E. ,
  • 90+6', Mislimi M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bashkimi Kumanovo
18.2%
Draw
25.1%
Vardar
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 24.1% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 24.1% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bashkimi Kumanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bashkimi Kumanovo's form might have worsened.
  • Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vardar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bashkimi Kumanovo than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bashkimi Kumanovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vardar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bashkimi Kumanovo - Vardar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.17
    (3.39)
    3.75
    (3.8)
    1.65
    (1.88)
    6.6%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Bashkimi Kumanovo - Vardar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vardar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Vardar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
    • Bashkimi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Vardar is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Vardar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vardar might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Bashkimi Kumanovo
    Latest results of Vardar
    21.09.2025 Vardar - Rabotnički 3:1
    18.09.2025 Arsimi - Vardar 1:4
    29.08.2025 Shkupi - Vardar 2:4
    22.08.2025 Vardar - AP Brera Strumica 2:2
    North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Struga972022:51723
    2Vardar963022:101221
    3Shkendija963015:41121
    4Sileks960318:81018
    5Bashkimi1053216:13318
    6Makedonija GP940512:13-112
    7Brera Strumica933311:16-512
    8Arsimi1032517:19-211
    9Tikves102268:15-78
    10Pelister92167:18-117
    11Rabotnicki91269:16-75
    12Shkupi100197:27-201

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          1. MFL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. MFL