Basingstoke Town vs Merthyr Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Southern League South Division Basingstoke Town - Merthyr Town
Result
4:0
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Southern League Premier South - Round 42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Ferdinand L. ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Reid G. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 71', 3 - 0, Reid G. ,
  • 77', 4 - 0, Ferdinand L. ,

Chances of winning


Basingstoke Town
38%
Draw
21.8%
Merthyr Town
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 23.8% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 23.1% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basingstoke Town's performance.
  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basingstoke Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Basingstoke Town - Merthyr Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (3.47)
    4.2
    (3.84)
    2.27
    (1.83)
    9.5%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Basingstoke Town - Merthyr Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Merthyr (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).
    • Merthyr is Confirmed as championsnQualified for National League South
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Basingstoke won 0.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Basingstoke won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:19 (average 1:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Basingstoke won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Basingstoke Town - Merthyr Town were as follows:
    04.02.2025 Merthyr Town - Basingstoke Town 1:1
    06.01.2024 Merthyr Town - Basingstoke Town 4:1
    03.10.2023 Basingstoke Town - Merthyr Town 1:3
    Latest results of Basingstoke Town
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AFC Totton (2)Dorchester (5)4 : 3
    2Walton & Hersham (3)Gloucester (4)2 : 3

    Final
    1AFC Totton (2)Gloucester (4)1 : 0