Result
4:0
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Southern League Premier South - Round 42
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Ferdinand L. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 0, Reid G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 71', 3 - 0, Reid G. ⚽,
- 77', 4 - 0, Ferdinand L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Basingstoke Town 38% | Draw 21.8% | Merthyr Town 40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basingstoke Town's performance.Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basingstoke Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Basingstoke Town - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↓ (3.47) |
4.2 ↑ (3.84) |
2.27 ↑ (1.83) |
9.5% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Basingstoke Town - Merthyr Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Merthyr (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).
- Merthyr is Confirmed as championsnQualified for National League South
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Basingstoke won 0.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Basingstoke won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:19 (average 1:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Basingstoke won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Basingstoke Town won against Merthyr Town?
Basingstoke Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Basingstoke Town?
Merthyr Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basingstoke Town - Merthyr Town were as follows:
04.02.2025
Merthyr Town
-
Basingstoke Town
1:1
06.01.2024
Merthyr Town
-
Basingstoke Town
4:1
03.10.2023
Basingstoke Town
-
Merthyr Town
1:3
Latest results of Basingstoke Town
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 76:28 | 48 | 73 |
| 2 | Gloucester | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 72:42 | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | Poole | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 61 |
| 4 | Farnham | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 71:37 | 34 | 58 |
| 5 | Sholing | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 56:42 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Chertsey | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 47:35 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | Gosport | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 9 | Havant & W | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 59:54 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Bracknell | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 51:58 | -7 | 44 |
| 11 | Uxbridge | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 43 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 40 |
| 13 | Evesham | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40:45 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Basingstoke | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 42:55 | -13 | 36 |
| 16 | Dorchester | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 40:56 | -16 | 36 |
| 17 | Hungerford | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44:66 | -22 | 36 |
| 18 | Yate Town | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 40:52 | -12 | 34 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36:62 | -26 | 31 |
| 20 | Taunton | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 30 |
| 21 | Plymouth Parkway | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37:61 | -24 | 30 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 28 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 30:70 | -40 | 14 |
Promotion ~ National League South
Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )
Relegation