Baskonia vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Spanish ACB League Baskonia - Real Madrid
Result
105:100
12/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ACB - Round 2
  • Referee: Gonzalez Galvez I. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportklub

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5966
Field Goals Made
3332
Field Goals %
55.93%48.48%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3437
2-Point Field Goals Made
2322
2-Point Field Goals %
67.65%59.46%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2529
3-Point Field Goals Made
1010
3-Point Field Goals %
40%34.48%
Free Throws Attempted
3428
Free Throws Made
3226
Free Throws %
94.1%92.9%
Offensive Rebounds
710
Defensive Rebounds
2219
Total Rebounds
2929
Assists
1919
Blocks
02
Turnovers
1415
Steals
119
Personal Fouls
2425

Highlights

Chances of winning


Baskonia
30.1%
Real Madrid
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 63.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baskonia's form might have worsened.
  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baskonia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Baskonia - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.47)

    1.38
    (1.45)
    3.6%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 172.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Baskonia - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Baskonia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 0.
    • Baskonia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Real Madrid has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Real Madrid has had a series of home games.
    • Real Madrid will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1715:1795. (average 85.8:89.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Baskonia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 778:806. (average 86.4:89.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baskonia - Real Madrid were as follows:
    06.06.2025 Baskonia - Real Madrid 103:112
    03.06.2025 Real Madrid - Baskonia 82:76
    23.01.2025 Real Madrid - Baskonia 90:89
    06.01.2025 Baskonia - Real Madrid 82:89
    15.10.2024 Baskonia - Real Madrid 76:72
    Latest results of Baskonia
    09.10.2025 Baskonia - Panathinaikos 84:86
    05.10.2025 Basket Zaragoza - Baskonia 107:88
    03.10.2025 ASVEL Basket - Baskonia 102:95
    30.09.2025 Baskonia - Olympiacos Piraeus 96:102
    23.09.2025 Baskonia - Trieste 94:98
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    09.10.2025 Real Madrid - ASVEL Basket 85:72
    30.09.2025 Virtus Bologna - Real Madrid 74:68
    28.09.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 94:98
    Spanish ACB League Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Murcia220188:1354
    2Tenerife220200:1574
    3Valencia220206:1714
    4Unicaja220167:1404
    5Forca Lleida220178:1544
    6Joventut Badalona220176:1614
    7Basket Zaragoza211193:1772
    8San Pablo Burgos211182:1742
    9Real Madrid211181:1762
    10Manresa211176:1722
    11Bilbao211163:1712
    12Baskonia211193:2072
    13Barcelona202167:1840
    14Gran Canaria202143:1620
    15Granada202143:1700
    16Basquet Girona202150:1900
    17Breogan202158:2000
    18MoraBanc Andorra202128:1910

          Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Primera FEB