Basquete Cearense vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
78:86
29/12/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBB
  • Referee: Varella J. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6363
Field Goals Made
2528
Field Goals %
39.68%44.44%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3340
2-Point Field Goals Made
1218
2-Point Field Goals %
36.36%45%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3023
3-Point Field Goals Made
1310
3-Point Field Goals %
43.33%43.48%
Free Throws Attempted
1927
Free Throws Made
1520
Free Throws %
78.9%74.1%
Offensive Rebounds
711
Defensive Rebounds
2931
Total Rebounds
3642
Assists
1816
Blocks
23
Turnovers
1515
Steals
96
Personal Fouls
2217

Chances of winning


Basquete Cearense
38.6%
Cruzeiro
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basquete Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basquete Cearense's form might have worsened.
  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cruzeiro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basquete Cearense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-18.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cruzeiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Basquete Cearense - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (1.67)

    1.5
    (2.07)
    7.8%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Basquete Cearense - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cearense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cearense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 167.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cearense is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cruzeiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cruzeiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Basquete Cearense
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    27.12.2025 Unifacisa - Cruzeiro 85:77
    23.12.2025 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 79:75
    21.12.2025 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 80:93
    16.12.2025 Cruzeiro - Botafogo 89:65
    03.12.2025 União Corinthians - Cruzeiro 87:76
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Pinheiros272252321:20100.815
    2Franca292362587:21860.793
    3Flamengo282262434:21750.786
    4Minas282172435:23030.750
    5Corinthians Paulista282082347:21840.714
    6Brasilia282082303:20350.714
    7Paulistano2817112269:21540.607
    8Sao Jose2917122385:23160.586
    9Bauru2917122309:22680.586
    10Mogi2815132124:19540.536
    11Uniao Corinthians2714132137:21990.519
    12Unifacisa2714132163:21380.519
    13Caxias do Sul2712151959:20740.444
    14Cruzeiro279182139:23000.333
    15Rio Claro278192090:23600.296
    16Pato287212053:22240.250
    17Cearense276212080:23450.222
    18Botafogo275221946:22440.185
    19Osasco274232019:23530.148
    20Vasco284241950:22280.143

          Promotion ~ NBB (Play Offs: )