Result
3:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Rasic F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 2, D'Agostino G. ⚽,
- 54', 1 - 2, Ouhafsa A. (Pen),
- 82', 2 - 2, Figueiredo G. (Pen),
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Ribeiro L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Bavois 47.2% | Draw 25.2% | Paradiso 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bavois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bavois's performance.Paradiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paradiso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bavois that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paradiso than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Bavois - Paradiso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↓ (2.24) |
3.62 ↑ (3.45) |
3.29 ↑ (2.72) |
10% (10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).
- Bavois is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Paradiso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bavois could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bavois won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bavois won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bavois won against Paradiso?
Bavois has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paradiso won against Bavois?
Paradiso has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bavois - Paradiso were as follows:
15.03.2025
Bavois
-
Paradiso
1:0
07.09.2024
Paradiso
-
Bavois
1:0
18.05.2024
Paradiso
-
Bavois
2:0
11.11.2023
Bavois
-
Paradiso
1:2
Latest results of Paradiso
Swiss Promotion League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kriens | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 30:11 | 19 | 23 |
2 | Bruhl | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 22 |
3 | Bavois | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 22 |
4 | Biel | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Young Boys II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Basel II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 25:18 | 7 | 16 |
7 | Zurich II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 14 |
8 | Breitenrain | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
9 | Lausanne II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Cham | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Bulle | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:21 | -1 | 13 |
12 | Schaffhausen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Luzern II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 23:28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Lugano II | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14:22 | -8 | 11 |
15 | Paradiso | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 23:30 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Kreuzlingen | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:23 | -12 | 9 |
17 | Grand-Saconnex | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15:28 | -13 | 3 |
18 | Vevey | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:20 | -14 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Challenge League
Relegation