Result
3:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Rasic F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 2, D'Agostino G. ⚽,
- 54', 1 - 2, Ouhafsa A. (Pen),
- 82', 2 - 2, Figueiredo G. (Pen),
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Ribeiro L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Bavois 47.2% | Draw 25.2% | Paradiso 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bavois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bavois's performance.Paradiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paradiso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bavois that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paradiso than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Bavois - Paradiso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↓ (2.24) |
3.62 ↑ (3.45) |
3.29 ↑ (2.72) |
10% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).
- Bavois is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Paradiso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bavois could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bavois won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bavois won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bavois won against Paradiso?
Bavois has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paradiso won against Bavois?
Paradiso has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bavois - Paradiso were as follows:
15.03.2025
Bavois
-
Paradiso
1:0
07.09.2024
Paradiso
-
Bavois
1:0
18.05.2024
Paradiso
-
Bavois
2:0
11.11.2023
Bavois
-
Paradiso
1:2
Latest results of Paradiso
Swiss Promotion League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kriens | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 40:14 | 26 | 32 |
| 2 | Bruhl | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30:16 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | Bavois | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | Young Boys II | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 28:20 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Basel II | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 32:21 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Biel | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Zurich II | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Luzern II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 34:31 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Cham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Lausanne II | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Schaffhausen | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Lugano II | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18:26 | -8 | 15 |
| 13 | Breitenrain | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Kreuzlingen | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 14 |
| 15 | Bulle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Paradiso | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 25:38 | -13 | 11 |
| 17 | Grand-Saconnex | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 24:35 | -11 | 9 |
| 18 | Vevey | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8:34 | -26 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Challenge League
Relegation