Result
1:1
10/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Thompson M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, NBC Sports Bay Area, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (358/444) | 81% (401/496) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (358/444) | 81% (401/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 32% (16/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (59/98) | 69% (81/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Huff T. ⚽, Kundananji R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', McClernon P. 🟨,
- 63', Huitema J. ↓, Mercado M. ↑,
- 63', Adames E. ↓, Fishlock J. ↑,
- 70', Bailey D. ↓, Conti C. ↑,
- 70', Lema K. ↓, Moreau M. ↑,
- 75', Mondesir N. ↓, Fishel M. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Fishlock J. ⚽,
- 85', Boade T. ↓, Hill R. ↑,
- 86', Curry M. ↓, Barnes L. ↑,
- 89', Kundananji R. ↓, Hocking P. ↑,
- 90+8', Conti C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Seattle Reign
44.7% | Draw
27.1% | Bay FC
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seattle Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Seattle Reign's performance.Bay FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bay FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Reign than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seattle Reign that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bay FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Seattle Reign - Bay FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.42) |
3.43 ↓
(3.45) |
3.29 ↑
(2.59) |
7.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In recent matches, Seattle Reign has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Seattle Reign might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Seattle Reign won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Seattle Reign won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Seattle Reign won against Bay FC?
Seattle Reign has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bay FC won against Seattle Reign?
Bay FC has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Seattle Reign - Bay FC were as follows:
26.04.2025
Bay FC
-
Seattle Reign
1:1
29.09.2024
Seattle Reign
-
Bay FC
0:1
14.04.2024
Bay FC
-
Seattle Reign
3:2
Latest results of Seattle Reign
NWSL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Angel City W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Houston Dash W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Portland Thorns W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | North Carolina Courage W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Gotham W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | San Diego Wave W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Bay FC W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Chicago W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Racing Louisville W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Washington Spirit W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Denver Summit W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Orlando Pride W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Utah Royals W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Boston Legacy W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
