Bay of Plenty vs Hawkes Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay
12/09/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1

Chances of winning


Bay of Plenty
59.8%
Draw
3.8%
Hawkes Bay
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 4.4% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 4.3% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bay of Plenty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay of Plenty than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bay of Plenty, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hawkes Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.45)
    24
    (21)
    2.5
    (2.85)
    9.9%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Bay of Plenty will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Hawkes Bay will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:26.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bay of Plenty won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Bay of Plenty may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bay of Plenty could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Bay of Plenty will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bay of Plenty won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 448:412. (average 28:25.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bay of Plenty won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 222:154. (average 27.8:19.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay were as follows:
    11.10.2024 Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay 19:17
    07.10.2023 Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay 28:38
    09.09.2023 Hawkes Bay - Bay of Plenty 35:38
    23.09.2022 Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay 20:14
    Latest results of Bay of Plenty
    06.09.2025 Taranaki - Bay of Plenty 17:43
    21.08.2025 Bay of Plenty - Southland 25:30
    15.08.2025 Bay of Plenty - Canterbury 7:21
    Latest results of Hawkes Bay
    05.09.2025 Hawkes Bay - Wellington 45:19
    30.08.2025 Northland - Hawkes Bay 27:21
    22.08.2025 Hawkes Bay - Canterbury 7:26
    16.08.2025 Hawkes Bay - North Harbour 36:22
    10.08.2025 Otago - Hawkes Bay 21:27
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Canterbury8701273:13530
    2Otago8602246:20526
    3Taranaki8503265:17523
    4Hawke's Bay8503239:18822
    5Waikato8503204:23122
    6Bay of Plenty7403191:12820
    7Tasman8404228:20319
    8Northland7403162:16916
    9Manawatu7304194:26214
    10Counties Manukau8305238:25314
    11Wellington8305275:26514
    12Southland8305159:29613
    13Auckland8206208:28311
    14North Harbour7007144:2333

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