Bay of Plenty vs Tasman – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Bay of Plenty - Tasman
10/10/2025 at 23:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports+

Chances of winning


Bay of Plenty
67.5%
Draw
4.4%
Tasman
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 4.4% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 4.1% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bay of Plenty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bay of Plenty's performance.
  • Tasman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tasman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bay of Plenty than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bay of Plenty that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tasman than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tasman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bay of Plenty - Tasman Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.71)
    21
    (21)
    3.25
    (2.22)
    9.1%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bay of Plenty won 2.
    • Bay of Plenty is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tasman's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tasman may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bay of Plenty is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Bay of Plenty will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bay of Plenty won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 167:239. (average 18.6:26.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bay of Plenty won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 119:102. (average 29.8:25.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bay of Plenty - Tasman were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Bay of Plenty - Tasman 37:7
    31.08.2024 Tasman - Bay of Plenty 34:15
    30.09.2023 Bay of Plenty - Tasman 41:12
    Latest results of Bay of Plenty
    03.10.2025 Wellington - Bay of Plenty 26:33
    27.09.2025 Bay of Plenty - Waikato 41:5
    21.09.2025 Manawatu - Bay of Plenty 19:55
    12.09.2025 Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay FRO
    06.09.2025 Taranaki - Bay of Plenty 17:43
    Latest results of Tasman
    04.10.2025 Tasman - Counties Manukau 41:49
    26.09.2025 Southland - Tasman 38:55
    20.09.2025 Tasman - Waikato 24:29
    13.09.2025 Canterbury - Tasman 31:25
    07.09.2025 Tasman - Auckland 21:29
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)