Atlético Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Atlético Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen
Result
2:1
21/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaFox Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports Golf
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 4
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 256
japanJapanWowow Cinema
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX
montenegroMontenegroArena Sport 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime+
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.84
Ball Possession
30%70%
Goal Attempts
513
Shots on Goal
24
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
03
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
30
Free Kicks
147
Offsides
03
Fouls
714
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
11
Throw-ins
1318
Touches in the Opposition Box
1218
Passes
76% (228/300)92% (653/709)
Passes in the final third
64% (61/96)90% (240/266)
Crosses
0% (0/10)37% (7/19)
Tackles
42% (5/12)86% (6/7)
Clearances Total
1716
Interceptions
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Barrios P. 🟥,
  • 44', Wirtz F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Hincapie P. , Mukiele N. (A),
  • 45+2', Tella N. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Hincapie P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Galan J. , Mandava R. ,
  • 46', Mukiele N. , Schick P. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. ,
  • 66', Simeone G. 🟨,
  • 68', Tella N. , Hofmann J. ,
  • 76', Hincapie P. 🟨,
  • 82', Frimpong J. , Arthur ,
  • 87', Simeone G. , Lino S. ,
  • 87', Griezmann A. , Correa A. ,
  • 89', Wirtz F. , Garcia A. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Alvarez J. , Correa A. (A),
  • 90+2', Alvarez J. , Le Normand R. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
41%
Draw
29.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 29% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 29.4% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Atlético Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.59)
    3.29
    (3.3)
    3.24
    (2.8)
    4%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 32 - 50.8%). Bayer will win (votes: 10 - 15.9%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 38.5%63.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 1.
    • Atlético is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Bayer in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recently Atlético have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Bayer have a series of home games.
    • Atlético will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético: Sorloth A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Adli A. (Ankle Injury) Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Boniface V. (Thigh Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    26.10.2022 Atlético Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2
    13.09.2022 Bayer Leverkusen - Atlético Madrid 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3