Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen
Result
2:2
04/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.33
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
68% (202/296)85% (540/634)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.290.21
Total shots
85
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
20
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1910
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
68% (202/296)85% (540/634)
Long passes
20% (12/60)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
55% (56/102)75% (117/156)
Crosses
10% (1/10)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.79
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
1016
Tackles
67% (12/18)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4752
Clearances
1624
Interceptions
1510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.210.29
Goals prevented
-1.79-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Manzambi J. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Eggestein M. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Hincapie P. (Own goal), Manzambi J. (A),
  • 57', Tapsoba E. ↓, Arthur ↑,
  • 57', Garcia A. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
  • 57', Buendia E. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
  • 66', Adli A. 🟨,
  • 69', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
  • 69', Manzambi J. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
  • 76', Frimpong J. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
  • 81', Doan R. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Wirtz F. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
  • 88', Grimaldo A. 🟨,
  • 89', Grifo V. ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Tah J. ⚽, Tella N. (A),

Chances of winning


Freiburg
33%		Draw
26.6%		Bayer Leverkusen
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 26.5% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1% 25.9% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayer Leverkusen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayer Leverkusen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.88 ↓
    (3.6)    		 3.63
    (3.63)    		 2.4 ↑
    (2.05)    		 4%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). Bayer will win (votes: 19 - 42.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 28.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 27.8% – 56.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Bayer (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Bayer is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bayer is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Hermoso M. (Thigh Injury) Mukiele N. (Muscle Injury) Sarco A. (Thigh Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Injury) Gulde M. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Boniface V. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 5:1
    17.03.2024 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3
    29.10.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:1
    26.02.2023 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1
    03.09.2022 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:3
    Latest results of Freiburg
    26.04.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:4 ✺
    30.03.2025 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    26.04.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg 2:0 ✺
    20.04.2025 St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 0:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    01.04.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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