Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg
26/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
52.1%
Draw
24.8%
Freiburg
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 23.7% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 23.1% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.68)
    3.88
    (4.03)
    4.24
    (4.88)
    3.3%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Freiburg will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 3.
    • Bayer is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Freiburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayer is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2
    21.12.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 5:1
    17.03.2024 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3
    29.10.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:1
    26.02.2023 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Freiburg
    23.10.2025 Freiburg - Utrecht 2:0
    02.10.2025 Bologna - Freiburg 1:1
    28.09.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 1:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich770027:42321
    2RB Leipzig751110:9116
    3Stuttgart750211:6515
    4Dortmund742113:6714
    5Bayer Leverkusen742116:11514
    6FC Koln732212:10211
    7Eintracht Frankfurt731319:18110
    8Hoffenheim731312:12010
    9Union Berlin731311:14-310
    10Freiburg723211:1109
    11Hamburger SV72237:10-38
    12Werder Bremen722311:16-58
    13Augsburg721412:14-27
    14St. Pauli72148:12-47
    15Wolfsburg71248:13-55
    16Mainz71158:14-64
    17Heidenheim71156:13-74
    18B. Monchengladbach70346:15-93

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga