Result
2:2
04/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 4, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | iNews, RCTI+, Vidio |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2 |
 North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 3 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (202/296) | 85% (540/634) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (202/296) | 85% (540/634) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 20% (12/60) | 45% (19/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (56/102) | 75% (117/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.79 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Manzambi J. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Eggestein M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 2 - 0, Hincapie P. (Own goal), Manzambi J. (A),
- 57', Tapsoba E. ↓, Arthur ↑,
- 57', Garcia A. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
- 57', Buendia E. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
- 66', Adli A. 🟨,
- 69', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
- 69', Manzambi J. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
- 76', Frimpong J. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
- 81', Doan R. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Wirtz F. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
- 88', Grimaldo A. 🟨,
- 89', Grifo V. ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Tah J. ⚽, Tella N. (A),
Chances of winning
Freiburg
33% | Draw
26.6% | Bayer Leverkusen
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayer Leverkusen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayer Leverkusen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(3.6) |
3.63
(3.63) |
2.4 ↑
(2.05) |
4%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). Bayer will win (votes: 19 - 42.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 27.8% – 56.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Bayer (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Bayer is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bayer is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
Ogbus B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J.
(Knee Injury)
Hermoso M.
(Thigh Injury)
Mukiele N.
(Muscle Injury)
Sarco A.
(Thigh Injury)
Terrier M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E.
(Injury)
Gulde M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Bayer: Boniface V.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Freiburg has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Freiburg?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
21.12.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Freiburg
5:1
17.03.2024
Freiburg
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:3
29.10.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Freiburg
2:1
26.02.2023
Freiburg
-
Bayer Leverkusen
1:1
03.09.2022
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Freiburg
2:3
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Stuttgart | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Freiburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
