Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:3
07/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 25
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
colombiaColombiaESPN
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.502.04
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
2217
Shots on target
95
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
52
Passes
88% (402/456)88% (463/525)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
2.502.04
xG on target (xGOT)
2.182.40
Total shots
2217
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
87
Blocked shots
55
Shots inside the box
128
Shots outside the box
109
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3528
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
87
Passes
88% (402/456)88% (463/525)
Long passes
35% (12/34)47% (23/49)
Passes in final third
83% (124/149)85% (138/162)
Crosses
48% (11/23)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
3.131.25
Throw ins
1014
Fouls
78
Tackles
67% (12/18)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5140
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
2.402.18
Goals prevented
-0.60-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Grifo V. ⚽, Gunter C. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Kofane C. ⚽, Terrier M. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Treu P. (A),
  • 45+3', 2 - 2, Grimaldo A. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Grimaldo A. 🟨,
  • 52', 2 - 3, Terrier M. ⚽, Kofane C. (A),
  • 63', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
  • 63', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
  • 66', Maza I. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
  • 70', Scherhant D. 🟨,
  • 75', Terrier M. ↓, Culbreath M. ↑,
  • 76', Beste J. ↓, Irie C. ↑,
  • 76', Manzambi J. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
  • 79', Irie C. 🟨,
  • 83', Quansah J. 🟨,
  • 83', Poku E. ↓, Oermann T. ↑,
  • 83', Fernandez E. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
  • 86', 3 - 3, Ginter M. ⚽, Scherhant D. (A),
  • 90+2', Andrich R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gunter C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
32.1%		Draw
27.9%		Bayer Leverkusen
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 26.8% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 26.5% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
    •

    Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.99 ↓
    (3.07)    		 3.44 ↓
    (3.54)    		 2.39 ↑
    (2.25)    		 4.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Bayer will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 27% – 65.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Freiburg (1.79) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Freiburg (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Bayer (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Freiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Hamstring Injury) Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Rosenfelder M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Injury) Bade L. (Muscle Injury) Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Flekken M. (Injury) Lucas (Calf Injury) Tella N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Schick P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:0
    04.05.2025 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2
    21.12.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 5:1
    17.03.2024 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3
    29.10.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    01.03.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg 2:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach 2:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 3:0 ✺
    10.02.2026 Hertha Berlin - Freiburg 1:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    04.03.2026 Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    28.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 1:1 ✺
    24.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - Olympiacos Piraeus 0:0 ✺
    21.02.2026 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 ✺
    18.02.2026 Olympiacos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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