Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Freiburg
31.5%
Draw
27.7%
Bayer Leverkusen
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 26.8% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 26.5% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (3.07)
    3.42
    (3.54)
    2.34
    (2.25)
    4.8%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Freiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:0
    04.05.2025 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2
    21.12.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 5:1
    17.03.2024 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3
    29.10.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga