Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:3
21/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 27
  • Referee: Braun R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4, Nova Sports 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 4
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.571.61
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
55
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
25
Passes
82% (262/321)86% (459/534)
Yellow cards
44
Expected goals (xG)
1.571.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.121.96
Total shots
914
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
710
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
12
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1439
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1211
Passes
82% (262/321)86% (459/534)
Long passes
53% (32/60)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
61% (53/87)74% (120/163)
Crosses
20% (3/15)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.80
Throw ins
2513
Fouls
1112
Tackles
53% (9/17)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4740
Clearances
3421
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.962.12
Goals prevented
-1.04-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Tillman M. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
  • 25', Schoppner J. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 2, Schick P. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
  • 39', Schick P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Poku E. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
  • 46', Schoppner J. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
  • 46', Gimber B. ↓, Fohrenbach J. ↑,
  • 54', Terrier M. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Behrens H. ⚽, Busch M. (A),
  • 64', Kerber L. 🟨,
  • 65', Conteh C. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
  • 65', Kerber L. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Pieringer M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 74', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 3, Schick P. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
  • 82', Garcia A. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
  • 83', Tillman M. ↓, Oermann T. ↑,
  • 83', Maza I. 🟨,
  • 84', Dorsch N. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
  • 85', 3 - 3, Pieringer M. ⚽, Beck A. (A),
  • 87', Andrich R. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
  • 89', Quansah J. 🟨,
  • 90', Beck A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Busch M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
18.3%		Draw
20.9%		Bayer Leverkusen
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 21.4% 60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 20.8% 62.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
    •

    Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.24
    (5.24)    		 4.57 ↑
    (4.43)    		 1.57
    (1.57)    		 4.6%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (43 of 54 users predict this - 79.63%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.89% – 90.37%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.
    • Heidenheim is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bayer has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Kaufmann M. (Muscle Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Ankle Injury) Bade L. (Muscle Injury) Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Lucas (Calf Injury) Tapsoba E. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 1:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim 6:0
    05.04.2025 Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1
    23.11.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim 5:2
    17.02.2024 Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2
    24.09.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim 4:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    14.03.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Heidenheim 1:0 ✺
    07.03.2026 Heidenheim - Hoffenheim 2:4 ✺
    28.02.2026 Werder Bremen - Heidenheim 2:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 Heidenheim - Stuttgart 3:3 ✺
    15.02.2026 Augsburg - Heidenheim 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    17.03.2026 Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 ✺
    14.03.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 1:1 ✺
    11.03.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal 1:1 ✺
    07.03.2026 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 ✺
    04.03.2026 Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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