Result
1:0
01/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1 |
 Argentina | ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Azerbaijan | Ictimai TV |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Max |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | CANAL+ Sport, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Hungary | RTL+, Sport 2 |
 Iceland | Stod 2 Sport 2, Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Cinemax, HBO Max |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 North-central-america | RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | CANAL+ Family, CANAL+ Sport |
 Portugal | DAZN 3 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5 |
 Usa | Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea Extra, Sport 24 Extra |
 Vietnam | ON Football, TV 360 |
 World | Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 621 | 604 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 585 | 570 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 0, Boniface V. ⚽, Frimpong J. (A),
- 62', Abraham T. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
- 74', Frimpong J. 🟨,
- 75', Boniface V. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
- 75', Garcia A. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
- 80', Pulisic C. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
- 82', Adli A. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
- 84', Morata A. 🟨,
- 89', Grimaldo A. ↓, Belocian J. ↑,
- 89', Wirtz F. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
- 90+4', Chukwueze S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bayer Leverkusen
57.6% | Draw
21.9% | Milan
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Bayer Leverkusen - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.62) |
4.41 ↑
(4.32) |
4.73 ↓
(5.07) |
3.6%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Milan?
Users Predictions:
Bayer Leverkusen will win
(89 of 101 users predict this - 88.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.81% – 94.43%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Now both teams are in good shape.
- Milan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Bayer is a favorite.
- There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I.
(Calf Injury)
Florenzi A.
(Knee Injury)
Sportiello M.
(Hand Injury)
Thiaw M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Milan: Morata A.
(Muscle Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Milan?
Bayer Leverkusen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Milan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Milan were as follows:
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 3 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 4 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 6 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 9 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 10 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 12 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 14 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 17 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 19 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 21 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 22 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 23 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 25 | Brann | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
| 29 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 31 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Servette | |
| 33 | Nice | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 37 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 4 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 7 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 10 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 13 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 14 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
| 15 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 17 | Nice | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 19 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | |
| 3 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | |
| 4 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | |
| 6 | Shkendija | Qarabag | |
| 7 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | |
| 8 | Rangers | Plzen | |
| 9 | Nice | Benfica | |
| 10 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | |
