Bayer Leverkusen vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Bayer Leverkusen - Milan
Result
1:0
01/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1
argentinaArgentinaESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilMax
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCANAL+ Sport, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoCinemax, HBO Max
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCANAL+ Family, CANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 At Sea Extra, Sport 24 Extra
vietnamVietnamON Football, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.241.37
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
1614
Shots on Goal
95
Shots off Goal
76
Blocked Shots
03
Free Kicks
418
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
30
Goalkeeper Saves
58
Fouls
154
Yellow Cards
22
Total Passes
621604
Completed Passes
585570
Clearances Completed
1610
Crosses Completed
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Boniface V. , Frimpong J. (A),
  • 62', Abraham T. , Morata A. ,
  • 74', Frimpong J. 🟨,
  • 75', Boniface V. , Terrier M. ,
  • 75', Garcia A. , Andrich R. ,
  • 80', Pulisic C. , Chukwueze S. ,
  • 82', Adli A. , Palacios E. ,
  • 84', Morata A. 🟨,
  • 89', Grimaldo A. , Belocian J. ,
  • 89', Wirtz F. , Tella N. ,
  • 90+4', Chukwueze S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
57.6%
Draw
21.9%
Milan
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 22.2% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 21.2% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.62)
    4.41
    (4.32)
    4.73
    (5.07)
    3.6%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (89 of 101 users predict this - 88.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.81%94.43%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Milan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Bayer is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Calf Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Sportiello M. (Hand Injury) Thiaw M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Morata A. (Muscle Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Milan
    27.09.2024 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    22.09.2024 Inter Milan - Milan 1:2
    17.09.2024 Milan - Liverpool 1:3
    14.09.2024 Milan - Venezia 4:0
    31.08.2024 Lazio - Milan 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3