Bayer Leverkusen vs PSV Eindhoven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
1:1
01/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 9
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, ON Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.48
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
89% (439/496)88% (498/569)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.880.85
Total shots
146
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3011
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
118
Passes
89% (439/496)88% (498/569)
Long passes
63% (22/35)50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
71% (83/117)85% (154/181)
Crosses
23% (3/13)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.70
Throw-ins
1412
Fouls
811
Tackles
92% (11/12)26% (6/23)
Duels won
4149
Clearances
2015
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.851.88
Goals prevented
-0.150.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Tape A. ↓, Arthur ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 65', Til G. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Kofane C. M. ⚽,
  • 66', Obispo A. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Saibari I. ⚽, Til G. (A),
  • 73', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
  • 73', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
  • 73', Poku E. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
  • 80', Kofane C. M. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
  • 80', Tillman M. ↓, Maza I. ↑,
  • 90+2', Saibari I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
43.4%		Draw
32.1%		PSV Eindhoven
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 23.2% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 22.7% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayer Leverkusen's form might have worsened.
  • PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
    •

    Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.66 ↑
    (1.87)    		 3.28 ↓
    (4.13)    		 4.64 ↑
    (3.76)    		 -10.4%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 44 - 73.3%). PSV will win (votes: 6 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 62.1% – 84.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 22 - 73.3%). PSV (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - PSV (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Bayer (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Bayer (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Bayer (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Bayer (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 - Bayer (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Bayer (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Bayer (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Bayer (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Bayer (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Bayer (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Bayer (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 42 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 33 - 78.6%). PSV (votes: 2 - 4.8%). Tie (votes: 7 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Bayer is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • PSV has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bayer is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Hofmann J. (Inactive) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Sarco A. (International duty) Schick P. (Muscle Injury) Tella N. (Knee Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in PSV: Boadu M. (Muscle Injury) Dest S. (Health problems) Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Muscle Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Sildillia K. (Muscle Injury) Waayers E. (Calf Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    27.09.2025 St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1 ✺
    18.09.2025 Copenhagen - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 ✺
    12.09.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt 3:1 ✺
    30.08.2025 Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 ✺
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    27.09.2025 Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven 1:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2 ✺
    16.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise 1:3 ✺
    13.09.2025 NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven 3:5 ✺
    30.08.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Telstar 0:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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