Result
0:3
01/04/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 26
- Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Eleven Sports |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu |
 France | beIN Sports Max |
 Germany | Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Schalke 04
23.6% | Draw
25.8% | Bayer Leverkusen
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Schalke 04 aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Schalke 04 - Bayer Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.04 ↑
(3.96) |
3.69 ↑
(3.69) |
1.89 ↑
(1.89) |
4.7%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Bayer Leverkusen?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Bayer will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 34.3% – 74.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 8).
- Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (29.28%), project points - 31, currently - 21, a good chance of relegated (56%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Bayer has the most likely position - 8 (24.06%), project points - 51, currently - 37, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (5%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 68, importance 42, match rating 55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 0.
- Schalke is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bayer is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- In this match Bayer is a favorite.
- There will not play in Schalke: Heekeren J.
(Knee Injury)
Jenz M.
(Muscle Injury)
Karaman K.
(Muscle Injury)
Kozuki S.
(Ankle Injury)
Latza D.
(Muscle Injury)
Polter S.
(Knee Injury)
Skarke T.
(Leg Injury)
Uronen J.
(Groin Injury)
van den Berg S.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Bayer: Amiri N.
(Muscle Injury)
Aranguiz C.
(Calf Injury)
Lunev A.
(Back Injury)
Schick P.
(Groin Injury)
- Last 21 head-to-head matches Schalke won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23-29.
- Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-14.
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Schalke 04 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Schalke 04?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
08.10.2022
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Schalke 04
4:0
Latest results of Schalke 04
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | St. Pauli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | B. Monchengladbach | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Stuttgart | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Mainz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Freiburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
