St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen
Result
1:1
20/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 30
  • Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Ultra
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, SportKlub 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.74
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
81% (346/425)86% (501/584)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.221.46
Total shots
106
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2123
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
81% (346/425)86% (501/584)
Long passes
31% (17/55)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
73% (88/120)75% (109/146)
Crosses
24% (4/17)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.161.57
Fouls
1212
Tackles
33% (5/15)57% (4/7)
Duels won
4438
Clearances Total
2434
Interceptions
62
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.461.22
Goals prevented
0.460.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Schick P. , Grimaldo A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Metcalfe C. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 63', Hincapie P. 🟨,
  • 64', Hradecky L. 🟨,
  • 64', Frimpong J. 🟨,
  • 66', Schick P. , Adli A. ,
  • 77', Tella N. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Boukhalfa C. ,
  • 84', Boukhalfa C. , Wagner R. ,
  • 89', Tapsoba E. , Buendia E. ,
  • 89', Tella N. , Boniface V. ,
  • 90+1', Sinani D. , Saad E. ,
  • 90+1', Guilavogui M. , Afolayan O. ,
  • 90+1', Smith E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
19.2%
Draw
25.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.9% 24.4% 56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4% 23.8% 58.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.02
    (5.1)
    3.81
    (3.94)
    1.73
    (1.7)
    3.9%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 4 - 10.3%). Bayer will win (votes: 31 - 79.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 66.8%92.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Bayer is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • Recent matches St. Pauli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bayer is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • St. Pauli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Bayer is a favorite.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Irvine J. (Foot Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Hermoso M. (Thigh Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli 2:1
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga