Result
1:1
20/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 30
- Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
Angola | Z Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Ultra |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | iNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena |
Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | beIN Connect |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.15 | 0.74 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
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10 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 4 |
Passes |
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81% (346/425) | 86% (501/584) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.15 | 0.74 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.22 | 1.46 |
Total shots |
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10 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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21 | 23 |
Through passes |
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100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 12 |
Passes |
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81% (346/425) | 86% (501/584) |
Long passes |
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31% (17/55) | 41% (16/39) |
Passes in final third |
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73% (88/120) | 75% (109/146) |
Crosses |
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24% (4/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.16 | 1.57 |
Fouls |
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12 | 12 |
Tackles |
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33% (5/15) | 57% (4/7) |
Duels won |
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44 | 38 |
Clearances Total |
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24 | 34 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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1.46 | 1.22 |
Goals prevented |
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0.46 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Schick P. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Metcalfe C. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
- 63', Hincapie P. 🟨,
- 64', Hradecky L. 🟨,
- 64', Frimpong J. 🟨,
- 66', Schick P. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
- 77', Tella N. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Boukhalfa C. ⚽,
- 84', Boukhalfa C. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
- 89', Tapsoba E. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
- 89', Tella N. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
- 90+1', Sinani D. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
- 90+1', Guilavogui M. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
- 90+1', Smith E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Pauli 19.2% | Draw 25.2% | Bayer Leverkusen 55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.02 ↓ (5.1) |
3.81 ↓ (3.94) |
1.73 ↑ (1.7) |
3.9% (3.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 4 - 10.3%). Bayer will win (votes: 31 - 79.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 66.8% – 92.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Bayer is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- Recent matches St. Pauli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bayer is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- St. Pauli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Bayer is a favorite.
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S.
(Groin Injury)
Irvine J.
(Foot Injury)
Mets K.
(Knee Injury)
Sands J.
(Broken Leg)
Zoller S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J.
(Knee Injury)
Hermoso M.
(Thigh Injury)
Terrier M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Bayer Leverkusen?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against St. Pauli?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
07.12.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
St. Pauli
2:1
Latest results of St. Pauli
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga