Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga
Soccer German Bundesliga Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen
16/03/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.75
Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
1116
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
37
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
110
Shots inside the Box
1113
Shots outside the Box
03
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Free Kicks
1413
Offsides
13
Fouls
1314
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
1925
Touches in the Opposition Box
3335
Passes
77% (267/349)80% (351/439)
Passes in the final third
62% (48/77)73% (110/151)
Crosses
29% (2/7)30% (10/33)
Tackles
70% (14/20)58% (7/12)
Clearances Total
4521
Interceptions
1210

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Demirovic E. ⚽,
  • 27', Karazor A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 4)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Woltemade N. ⚽, Millot E. (A),
  • 51', Jeltsch F. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Frimpong J. ⚽,
  • 57', Garcia A. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
  • 57', Grimaldo A. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
  • 62', 3 - 1, Xhaka G. (Own goal),
  • 64', Woltemade N. 🟨,
  • 68', 3 - 2, Hincapie P. ⚽, Mukiele N. (A),
  • 68', Millot E. ↓, Undav D. ↑,
  • 68', Leweling J. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
  • 74', Andrich R. 🟨,
  • 74', Andrich R. ↓, Arthur ↑,
  • 77', Hincapie P. 🟨,
  • 77', Demirovic E. ↓, Toure E. B. ↑,
  • 77', Al Dakhil A. ↓, Chabot J. ↑,
  • 88', 3 - 3, Stiller A. (Own goal),
  • 89', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
  • 90+1', Alonso X. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 4, Schick P. ⚽, Frimpong J. (A),

Chances of winning


Stuttgart
29.6%		Draw
27.8%		Bayer Leverkusen
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 26.2% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 27.4% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
    •

    Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.22 ↓
    (3.3)    		 3.47 ↓
    (3.68)    		 2.26 ↑
    (2.15)    		 4.1%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 7 - 14.3%). Bayer will win (votes: 31 - 63.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 22.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 49.8% – 76.8%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 0.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Stuttgart could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Bayer will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Bujupi E. (Hamstring Injury) Chase A. (Muscle Injury) Nartey N. (Hamstring Injury) Olivier C. (Ankle Injury) Raimund L. (Thigh Injury) Stergiou L. (Red Card) Zagadou D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Hermoso M. (Shoulder Injury) Tapsoba E. (Muscle Injury) Tella N. (Muscle Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wirtz F. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 22:45 (average 1.1:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stuttgart won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:14 (average 0.9:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart 0:0
    17.08.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart 3:2
    27.04.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart 2:2
    06.02.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart 3:2
    10.12.2023 Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    08.03.2025 Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart 2:2 ✺
    28.02.2025 Stuttgart - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺
    23.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Stuttgart 1:1 ✺
    15.02.2025 Stuttgart - Wolfsburg 1:2 ✺
    08.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    11.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 0:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen 0:2 ✺
    05.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 3:0 ✺
    01.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen 1:4 ✺
    22.02.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen?
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