Result
1:4
10/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 16
- Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Tanzania | ZBC 2 Tanzania |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (481/550) | 82% (334/405) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (481/550) | 82% (334/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (34/57) | 50% (19/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (104/130) | 74% (88/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.54 | 0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 4)
- 7', 0 - 1, Leweling J. ⚽, Undav D. (A),
- 29', 0 - 2, Mittelstadt M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', Leweling J. 🟨,
- 38', Flekken M. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 3, Leweling J. ⚽, Undav D. (A),
- 45+2', 0 - 4, Undav D. ⚽, Fuhrich C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tella N. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 46', Belocian J. ↓, Bade L. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 4, Grimaldo A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Terrier M. ↓, Sarco A. ↑,
- 66', Fernandez E. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
- 70', Bade L. 🟨,
- 72', Fuhrich C. ↓, Jeltsch F. ↑,
- 77', Jeltsch F. 🟨,
- 79', Grimaldo A. 🟨,
- 79', Vagnoman J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
- 79', Leweling J. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
- 80', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 82', Grimaldo A. ↓, Lucas ↑,
- 89', Undav D. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
- 89', Nartey N. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bayer Leverkusen
44.4% | Draw
25.5% | Stuttgart
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.93) |
3.72 ↓
(4.06) |
3.17 ↓
(3.48) |
5.3%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart?
Users Predictions:
70 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 50 - 71.4%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 9 - 12.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 15.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 60.8% – 82%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Bayer (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Stuttgart (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Stuttgart (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Bayer (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (19 of 25 users predict this - 76%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 31 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 22 - 71%). Stuttgart (votes: 6 - 19.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Bayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Stuttgart has had a series of home games.
- Bayer is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E.
(International duty)
Kofane C.
(International duty)
Maza I.
(International duty)
Palacios E.
(Groin Injury)
Tapsoba E.
(Rest)
- There will not play in Stuttgart: El Khannouss B.
(International duty)
Jaquez L.
(Thigh Injury)
Tomas T.
(Muscle Injury)
Zagadou D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Stuttgart: Jeltsch F.
(Thigh Injury)
Jovanovic L.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 46:22. (average 2.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:15. (average 2.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Stuttgart?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stuttgart won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Stuttgart has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart were as follows:
01.11.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Stuttgart
0:0
17.08.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Stuttgart
3:2
27.04.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Stuttgart
2:2
06.02.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Stuttgart
3:2
10.12.2023
Stuttgart
-
Bayer Leverkusen
1:1
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Latest results of Stuttgart
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 85:21 | 64 | 60 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 49:22 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 49:30 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 44:32 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 44:32 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 43:28 | 15 | 39 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34:37 | -3 | 33 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 46:49 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 28 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Mainz | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:38 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 22 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 33:49 | -16 | 20 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:44 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 22:51 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
