Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 23
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Sport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 4
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.630.95
Ball possession
35%65%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
41
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
45
Passes
70% (212/303)86% (472/551)
Yellow cards
52
Expected goals (xG)
0.630.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.07
Total shots
816
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
110
Blocked shots
35
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
110
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2027
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
715
Passes
70% (212/303)86% (472/551)
Long passes
41% (29/71)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
56% (53/94)79% (163/206)
Crosses
20% (3/15)23% (9/40)
Expected assists (xA)
1.061.65
Throw ins
2123
Fouls
157
Tackles
58% (7/12)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
4929
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
0.070.60
Goals prevented
0.07-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Nsoki S. 🟨,
  • 10', Haberer J. 🟨,
  • 11', Haberer J. ↓, Trimmel C. ↑,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Khedira R. ⚽, Kemlein A. (A),
  • 44', Ilic A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Querfeld L. 🟨,
  • 61', Kofane C. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
  • 61', Arthur ↓, Lucas ↑,
  • 62', Fernandez E. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
  • 68', Bade L. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
  • 70', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Kral A. ↑,
  • 81', Tillman M. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
  • 84', Hofmann J. 🟨,
  • 85', Ilic A. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
  • 85', Schafer A. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
  • 88', Andrich R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ronnow F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
33%		Draw
28.2%		Bayer Leverkusen
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 27.6% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 28.1% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.9 ↑
    (2.83)    		 3.39 ↓
    (3.44)    		 2.49 ↑
    (2.45)    		 4.2%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Bayer (1.66) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Union Berlin (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Union Berlin (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Bayer (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 3 - 25%). Bayer (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 0.
    • Union Berlin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bayer is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury) Leite D. (Muscle Injury) Rothe T. (Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Flekken M. (Injury) Tella N. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:30. (average 0.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 2:0
    12.04.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 0:0
    30.11.2024 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2
    06.04.2024 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1
    12.11.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 4:0
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    14.02.2026 Hamburger SV - Union Berlin 3:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 0:3 ✺
    18.01.2026 Stuttgart - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    18.02.2026 Olympiacos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 ✺
    14.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli 4:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 ✺
    03.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli 3:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich23193185:216460
    2Dortmund23157149:222752
    3Hoffenheim23144549:301946
    4Stuttgart23134644:321243
    5RB Leipzig23125644:321241
    6Bayer Leverkusen22123743:281539
    7Freiburg2396834:37-333
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2387846:49-331
    9Union Berlin2377929:37-828
    10Augsburg23841128:41-1328
    11Hamburger SV2268825:32-726
    12FC Koln23661133:39-624
    13Mainz23571126:38-1222
    14B. Monchengladbach23571126:39-1322
    15Wolfsburg23551333:49-1620
    16St. Pauli23551322:40-1820
    17Werder Bremen23471223:44-2119
    18Heidenheim23351522:51-2914

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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