Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 6
- Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (756/825) | 72% (201/278) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (756/825) | 72% (201/278) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (31/48) | 32% (16/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (146/180) | 58% (43/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, Lucas (A),
- 45+6', Kofane C. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Grimaldo A. ↓, Maza I. ↑,
- 46', Lucas ↓, Arthur ↑,
- 49', 2 - 0, Kofane C. M. ⚽,
- 64', Burke O. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
- 64', Schafer A. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
- 64', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
- 66', Leite D. 🟨,
- 68', Trimmel C. 🟨,
- 69', Fernandez E. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
- 71', Leite D. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
- 71', Trimmel C. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
- 76', Kohn D. 🟨,
- 81', Kofane C. M. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
- 89', Poku E. ↓, Belocian J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bayer Leverkusen
60.6% | Draw
23.2% | Union Berlin
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.56) |
4.29 ↓
(4.36) |
6.31 ↑
(5.5) |
0.6%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin?
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 35 - 83.3%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 5 - 11.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 72% – 94.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 3.
- Bayer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Union Berlin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Bayer: Palacios E.
(Groin Injury)
Sarco A.
(International duty)
Schick P.
(Muscle Injury)
Tape A.
(Injury)
Terrier M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Burcu L.
(Ankle Injury)
Juranovic J.
(Injury)
Markgraf A.
(Leg Injury)
Skov R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bayer: Tella N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:10. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Union Berlin?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Union Berlin has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin were as follows:
12.04.2025
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Union Berlin
0:0
30.11.2024
Union Berlin
-
Bayer Leverkusen
1:2
06.04.2024
Union Berlin
-
Bayer Leverkusen
0:1
12.11.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Union Berlin
4:0
06.11.2022
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Union Berlin
5:0
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Latest results of Union Berlin
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 22 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Union Berlin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | St. Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
