Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 6
  • Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.790.77
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
92% (756/825)72% (201/278)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.790.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.460.22
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
125
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
123
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2617
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
92% (756/825)72% (201/278)
Long passes
65% (31/48)32% (16/50)
Passes in final third
81% (146/180)58% (43/74)
Crosses
18% (2/11)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.63
Throw-ins
1016
Fouls
1113
Tackles
71% (10/14)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5641
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.221.46
Goals prevented
0.22-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Poku E. , Lucas (A),
  • 45+6', Kofane C. M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Grimaldo A. , Maza I. ,
  • 46', Lucas , Arthur ,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Kofane C. M. ,
  • 64', Burke O. , Skarke T. ,
  • 64', Schafer A. , Kemlein A. ,
  • 64', Jeong Woo-Yeong , Ansah I. ,
  • 66', Leite D. 🟨,
  • 68', Trimmel C. 🟨,
  • 69', Fernandez E. , Andrich R. ,
  • 71', Leite D. , Haberer J. ,
  • 71', Trimmel C. , Rothe T. ,
  • 76', Kohn D. 🟨,
  • 81', Kofane C. M. , Hofmann J. ,
  • 89', Poku E. , Belocian J. ,

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
60.6%
Draw
23.2%
Union Berlin
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 21.8% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 21.2% 17.8%

Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.63
(1.56)
4.29
(4.36)
6.31
(5.5)
0.6%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 35 - 83.3%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 5 - 11.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 72%94.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Union Berlin (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Bayer (2.14) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Union Berlin (4.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Union Berlin (votes: 4 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 3.
    • Bayer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Union Berlin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Sarco A. (International duty) Schick P. (Muscle Injury) Tape A. (Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Burcu L. (Ankle Injury) Juranovic J. (Injury) Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Skov R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Tella N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:10. (average 2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 0:0
    30.11.2024 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2
    06.04.2024 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1
    12.11.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 4:0
    06.11.2022 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 5:0
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich20163174:185651
    2Dortmund20136141:192245
    3Hoffenheim20133443:232042
    4Stuttgart20123537:261139
    5RB Leipzig20113638:271136
    6Bayer Leverkusen19112638:261235
    7Freiburg2076731:33-227
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2076740:45-527
    9Union Berlin2066825:33-824
    10FC Koln2065929:32-323
    11Augsburg20641024:37-1322
    12B. Monchengladbach2056924:33-921
    13Hamburger SV1947819:29-1019
    14Wolfsburg20541128:42-1419
    15Werder Bremen2047922:38-1619
    16Mainz20461023:33-1018
    17St. Pauli20351218:34-1614
    18Heidenheim20341319:45-2613

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga