Bayer Leverkusen vs Villarreal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 15
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoFOX One
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Tennis
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 17, Blue Sport 17
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 20
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTV Prime
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.030.25
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
41
Passes
93% (732/790)86% (360/419)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
2.030.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.24
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
102
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
434
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
157
Passes
93% (732/790)86% (360/419)
Long passes
70% (32/46)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
87% (204/234)72% (51/71)
Crosses
21% (3/14)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.28
Throw ins
1013
Fouls
715
Tackles
69% (11/16)55% (12/22)
Duels won
4939
Clearances
1017
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
0.241.93
Goals prevented
0.24-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Tillman M. ,
  • 35', 2 - 0, Tillman M. , Schick P. (A),
  • 45+1', Navarro P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Partey T. , Mikautadze G. ,
  • 46', Buchanan T. , Lopez H. ,
  • 52', Marin R. 🟨,
  • 56', Pepe N. 🟨,
  • 57', 3 - 0, Grimaldo A. , Lucas (A),
  • 62', Lucas , Arthur ,
  • 62', Schick P. , Kofane C. ,
  • 65', Diatta A. , Parejo D. ,
  • 69', Pepe N. , Budesca D. ,
  • 70', Maza I. , Poku E. ,
  • 70', Garcia A. , Palacios E. ,
  • 82', Comesana S. , Gueye P. ,
  • 89', Grimaldo A. , Tapsoba E. ,

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
56.9%
Draw
23%
Villarreal
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 24.2% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 24% 23.1%

Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.84)
4.16
(4)
4.76
(4.14)
4.4%
(3.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Bayer (2.15) (votes: 8 - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25, 1st Half - Bayer (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Bayer (1.27) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Bayer (1.86) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Villarreal (3.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Villarreal (2.22) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.25 - Villarreal (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (67 of 78 users predict this - 85.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.18%93.62%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (37 of 42 users predict this - 88.1%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 69 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 51 - 73.9%). Villarreal (votes: 15 - 21.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 4.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Flekken M. (Injury) Hofmann J. (Inactive) Tella N. (Injury) Terrier M. (Inactive) Traore I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Mourino S. (Yellow Cards) Perez A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Tapsoba E. (Rest)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bayer won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Villarreal
    24.01.2026 Villarreal - Real Madrid 0:2
    20.01.2026 Villarreal - Ajax 1:2
    17.01.2026 Betis - Villarreal 2:0
    03.01.2026 Elche - Villarreal 1:3
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal880023:41924
    2Bayern Munich870122:81421
    3Liverpool860220:81218
    4Tottenham852117:71017
    5Barcelona851222:14816
    6Chelsea851217:10716
    7Sporting CP851217:11616
    8Manchester City851215:9616
    9Real Madrid850321:12915
    10Inter850315:7815
    11PSG842221:111014
    12Newcastle842217:71014
    13Juventus834114:10413
    14Atl. Madrid841317:15213
    15Atalanta841310:10013
    16Bayer Leverkusen833213:14-112
    17Dortmund832319:17211
    18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:14-411
    19Club Brugge KV831415:17-210
    20Galatasaray83149:11-210
    21Monaco82428:14-610
    22Qarabag831413:21-810
    23Bodo/Glimt823314:15-19
    24Benfica830510:12-29
    25Marseille830511:14-39
    26Pafos82338:11-39
    27Royale Union SG83058:17-99
    28PSV822416:1608
    29Ath Bilbao82249:14-58
    30Napoli82249:15-68
    31FC Copenhagen822412:21-98
    32Ajax82068:21-136
    33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:21-114
    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
    35Villarreal80175:18-131
    36Kairat Almaty80177:22-151

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