Result
3:0
28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 8
- Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | Canal+ Live 15 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Tennis |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN Connect |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 5 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 17, Blue Sport 17 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 20 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360, VTV Prime |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (732/790) | 86% (360/419) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (732/790) | 86% (360/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (32/46) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (204/234) | 72% (51/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Tillman M. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 0, Tillman M. ⚽, Schick P. (A),
- 45+1', Navarro P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Partey T. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
- 46', Buchanan T. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
- 52', Marin R. 🟨,
- 56', Pepe N. 🟨,
- 57', 3 - 0, Grimaldo A. ⚽, Lucas (A),
- 62', Lucas ↓, Arthur ↑,
- 62', Schick P. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
- 65', Diatta A. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
- 69', Pepe N. ↓, Budesca D. ↑,
- 70', Maza I. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 70', Garcia A. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
- 82', Comesana S. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
- 89', Grimaldo A. ↓, Tapsoba E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bayer Leverkusen
56.9% | Draw
23% | Villarreal
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+3%)
Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.84) |
4.16 ↑
(4) |
4.76 ↑
(4.14) |
4.4%
(3.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Bayer (2.15) (votes: 8 - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25, 1st Half - Bayer (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Bayer (1.27) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- AH -0.75 - Bayer (1.86) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Villarreal (3.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Villarreal (2.22) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.25 - Villarreal (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bayer Leverkusen will win
(67 of 78 users predict this - 85.9%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.18% – 93.62%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (37 of 42 users predict this - 88.1%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 69 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 51 - 73.9%). Villarreal (votes: 15 - 21.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 4.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E.
(Ankle Injury)
Flekken M.
(Injury)
Hofmann J.
(Inactive)
Tella N.
(Injury)
Terrier M.
(Inactive)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P.
(Knee Injury)
Costa L.
(Knee Injury)
Foyth J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kambwala W.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mourino S.
(Yellow Cards)
Perez A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bayer: Tapsoba E.
(Rest)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Bayer won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Villarreal?
Bayer Leverkusen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Villarreal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal were as follows:
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Latest results of Villarreal
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | 3 : 0, 5 : 2 |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | 2 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | 1 : 4, 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | 2 : 7, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | 0 : 5, 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 2 | Real Madrid (9) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 3 | Barcelona (5) | Atl. Madrid (14) | |
| 4 | Sporting CP (7) | Arsenal (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
