Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:3
22/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 11
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports, True ID, True Sport 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.221.13
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
84% (320/383)90% (603/673)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.221.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.631.65
Total shots
217
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
3019
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
712
Passes
84% (320/383)90% (603/673)
Long passes
39% (16/41)63% (37/59)
Passes in final third
75% (77/102)83% (82/99)
Crosses
32% (9/28)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.971.63
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
127
Tackles
63% (10/16)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3136
Clearances
1225
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
09
xGOT faced
1.652.63
Goals prevented
-1.351.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Hofmann J. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
  • 24', 0 - 2, Tapsoba E. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
  • 33', 0 - 3, Tillman M. ⚽, Schick P. (A),
  • 34', Pejcinovic D. 🟨,
  • 40', Amoura M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Maza I. ↓, Quansah J. ↑,
  • 46', Seelt J. ↓, Koulierakis K. ↑,
  • 57', 1 - 3, Vavro D. ⚽, Arnold M. (A),
  • 61', Gerhardt Y. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
  • 61', Wimmer P. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
  • 61', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Wind J. ↑,
  • 64', Tillman M. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
  • 75', Schick P. ↓, Kofane C. M. ↑,
  • 75', Grimaldo A. ↓, Belocian J. ↑,
  • 76', Andrich R. 🟨,
  • 84', Kumbedi S. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
  • 86', Poku E. ↓, Tella N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
28.5%		Draw
24.8%		Bayer Leverkusen
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 25.2% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 25.6% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
    •

    Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.37 ↑
    (3.08)    		 3.91 ↑
    (3.77)    		 2.08 ↓
    (2.17)    		 3.4%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% – 96.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 0.
    • Recent form of Wolfsburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bayer is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bayer might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Daghim A. (Back Injury) Dardai B. (Injury) Jenz M. (Muscle Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Fernandez E. (Knee Injury) Lucas (Muscle Injury) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Tape A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Fischer K. (Ankle Injury) Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Arthur (Back Injury) Grimaldo A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.5:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen 0:0
    22.09.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg 4:3
    10.03.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg 2:0
    21.10.2023 Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2
    16.04.2023 Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen 0:0
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    07.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 2:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:3 ✺
    28.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Stuttgart 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    08.11.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim 6:0 ✺
    05.11.2025 Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 3:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Paderborn - Bayer Leverkusen 2:4 ✺
    26.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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