Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 26
- Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Startimes Am'mobi, ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Angola | Z Sports 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Asia | MBC Action |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Cameroon | CRTV Sports, Dash TV |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Europe | Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (428/496) | 89% (566/635) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (428/496) | 89% (566/635) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 52% (29/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (142/169) | 84% (153/182) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽, Schick P. (A),
- 32', Tah J. 🟨,
- 42', Jackson N. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Terrier M. ↓, Maza I. ↑,
- 56', Fernandez E. 🟨,
- 61', Schick P. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
- 61', Karl L. ↓, Kane H. ↑,
- 61', Pavlovic A. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
- 70', Kompany V. 🟨,
- 74', Andrich R. 🟨,
- 74', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 77', Garcia A. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
- 77', Culbreath M. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
- 84', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 87', Poku E. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
- 88', Laimer K. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,
- 89', Olise M. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
- 90+5', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ulreich S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bayer Leverkusen
19.1% | Draw
20% | Bayern Munich
60.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.07 ↑
(4.61) |
4.8 ↑
(4.67) |
1.57 ↓
(1.61) |
4.3%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%). Bayern will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 61.4% – 87.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25, 1st Half - Bayer (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Bayer (1.98) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Bayer (1.66) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Bayern (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 1.
- In recent matches, Bayer has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Bayern may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bayern is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Bayer: Arthur
(Ankle Injury)
Bade L.
(Muscle Injury)
Flekken M.
(Knee Injury)
Grimaldo A.
(Yellow Cards)
Lucas
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Bayern: Davies A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ito H.
(Muscle Injury)
Kiala C.
(Ankle Injury)
Musiala J.
(Ankle Injury)
Neuer M.
(Calf Injury)
Urbig J.
(Concussion)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:45. (average 1.2:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1.6:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Bayern Munich?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayern Munich has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich were as follows:
01.11.2025
Bayern Munich
-
Bayer Leverkusen
3:0
11.03.2025
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Bayern Munich
0:2
05.03.2025
Bayern Munich
-
Bayer Leverkusen
3:0
15.02.2025
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Bayern Munich
0:0
03.12.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Bayer Leverkusen
0:1
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Latest results of Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
