Bayern Munich vs Chelsea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Bayern Munich - Chelsea
Result
3:1
17/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Meraj TV
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 2
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldSport 24 Extra, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.52
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
90% (502/557)89% (389/437)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.371.03
Total shots
169
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2223
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
712
Passes
90% (502/557)89% (389/437)
Long passes
55% (33/60)43% (13/30)
Passes in final third
84% (108/128)81% (87/108)
Crosses
17% (2/12)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.82
Throw-ins
1712
Fouls
127
Tackles
67% (8/12)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3235
Clearances
1413
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.032.37
Goals prevented
0.030.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Chalobah T. (Own goal), Olise M. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Kane H. (Pen),
  • 29', 2 - 1, Palmer C. ⚽, Gusto M. (A),
  • 29', Tah J. 🟨,
  • 29', Maresca E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tah J. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,
  • 51', Stanisic J. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
  • 63', 3 - 1, Kane H. ⚽,
  • 64', Pavlovic A. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
  • 68', Neto P. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
  • 68', James R. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
  • 81', Fernandez E. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
  • 85', Olise M. 🟨,
  • 86', Laimer K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Gnabry S. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
  • 90+1', Kane H. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
  • 90+6', Andrey Santos 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
53.8%		Draw
23.7%		Chelsea
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 22.2% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 21% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayern Munich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
    •

    Bayern Munich - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.79 ↑
    (1.71)    		 4.06 ↓
    (4.32)    		 4.24 ↓
    (4.39)    		 4%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 38 - 70.4%). Chelsea will win (votes: 6 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 18.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 58.2% – 82.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Bayern has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Chelsea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Bayern is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Guerreiro R. (Abdominal strain) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Knock) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Sterling R. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Bayern will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    13.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV 5:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺
    27.08.2025 Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺
    22.08.2025 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 6:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Stuttgart - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Chelsea
    13.09.2025 Brentford - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    30.08.2025 Chelsea - Fulham 2:0 ✺
    22.08.2025 West Ham United - Chelsea 1:5 ✺
    17.08.2025 Chelsea - Crystal Palace 0:0 ✺
    10.08.2025 Chelsea - Milan 4:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    © Copyright 2025 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy