Bayern Munich vs Chelsea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
3:1
17/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Meraj TV
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 2
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldSport 24 Extra, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.52
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
90% (502/557)89% (389/437)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.371.03
Total shots
169
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2223
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
712
Passes
90% (502/557)89% (389/437)
Long passes
55% (33/60)43% (13/30)
Passes in final third
84% (108/128)81% (87/108)
Crosses
17% (2/12)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.82
Throw-ins
1712
Fouls
127
Tackles
67% (8/12)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3235
Clearances
1413
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.032.37
Goals prevented
0.030.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Chalobah T. (Own goal), Olise M. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Kane H. (Pen),
  • 29', 2 - 1, Palmer C. ⚽, Gusto M. (A),
  • 29', Tah J. 🟨,
  • 29', Maresca E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tah J. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,
  • 51', Stanisic J. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
  • 63', 3 - 1, Kane H. ⚽,
  • 64', Pavlovic A. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
  • 68', Neto P. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
  • 68', James R. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
  • 81', Fernandez E. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
  • 85', Olise M. 🟨,
  • 86', Laimer K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Gnabry S. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
  • 90+1', Kane H. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
  • 90+6', Andrey Santos 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
53.8%		Draw
23.7%		Chelsea
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 22.2% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 21% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayern Munich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
    •

    Bayern Munich - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.79 ↑
    (1.71)    		 4.06 ↓
    (4.32)    		 4.24 ↓
    (4.39)    		 4%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 38 - 70.4%). Chelsea will win (votes: 6 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 18.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 58.2% – 82.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • EH -1 - Bayern (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Bayern (2.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25, 1st Half - Chelsea (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Bayern (2.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Chelsea (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Chelsea (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 38 high ROI users predict this event. Bayern (votes: 31 - 81.6%). Chelsea (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 7.9%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Bayern has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Chelsea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Bayern is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Guerreiro R. (Abdominal strain) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Knock) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Sterling R. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Bayern will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    13.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV 5:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺
    27.08.2025 Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺
    22.08.2025 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 6:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Stuttgart - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Chelsea
    13.09.2025 Brentford - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    30.08.2025 Chelsea - Fulham 2:0 ✺
    22.08.2025 West Ham United - Chelsea 1:5 ✺
    17.08.2025 Chelsea - Crystal Palace 0:0 ✺
    10.08.2025 Chelsea - Milan 4:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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