Alfreton Town vs Bedford Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Doherty R. ,
  • 61', 0 - 2, Marsh T. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Wallace K. ,

Chances of winning


Alfreton Town
46.4%
Draw
27.4%
Bedford Town
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 25.2% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 24.3% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bedford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bedford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alfreton Town - Bedford Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.23)
    3.33
    (3.69)
    3.56
    (2.8)
    8.3%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 18).
    • Alfreton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bedford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Bedford has had a series of home games.
    • Alfreton could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alfreton Town - Bedford Town were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Bedford Town - Alfreton Town 2:2
    Latest results of Alfreton Town
    Latest results of Bedford Town
    17.01.2026 Bedford Town - Southport 2:3
    03.01.2026 Bedford Town - Fylde 0:2
    26.12.2025 Leamington - Bedford Town 2:2
    20.12.2025 Bedford Town - Marine 1:1
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde33243682:354775
    2South Shields33228374:284674
    3Merthyr Town362031380:631763
    4Darlington33168964:471756
    5Kidderminster321511644:35956
    6Radcliffe351741463:55855
    7AFC Telford341411967:462153
    8Scarborough3514111049:44553
    9Macclesfield31157956:461052
    10Chester3613111252:57-550
    11Marine321461243:48-548
    12Spennymoor331371344:57-1346
    13Buxton341361556:49745
    14Curzon Ashton351291456:63-745
    15Chorley341191454:52242
    16Worksop361181745:62-1741
    17Southport359121447:56-939
    18Bedford361091755:65-1039
    19Kingu2019s Lynn349111441:48-738
    20Oxford City35981842:54-1235
    21Peterborough Sports35962041:69-2833
    22Alfreton30881430:55-2532
    23Hereford28771435:50-1528
    24Leamington33472223:59-3619

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation