Result
3:3
10/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 33
- Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (328/402) | 83% (354/426) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (328/402) | 83% (354/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (52/75) | 70% (87/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', Zague Y. 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Guendouz S. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Nuhu I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Gyamfi D. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Kasper D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Plat B. ↓, Nilton ↑,
- 50', Masui K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 54', Zague Y. ↓, Van Genechten Y. ↑,
- 59', Plastun I. 🟨,
- 67', Masui K. ↓, Wright-Phillips D. ↑,
- 67', Sanusi R. ↓, Van Eenoo L. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, Wright-Phillips D. ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 3, Vula A. ⚽,
- 71', Nuhu I. ↓, Bitumazala N. ↑,
- 72', Kasper D. ↓, Atteri Z. ↑,
- 78', Keita A. ↓, Meshaal M. ↑,
- 78', Caliskan B. ↓, Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↑,
- 83', van La Parra R. ↓, Claes G. ↑,
- 88', Guendouz S. ↓, Van Himbeeck A. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 3, Paeshuyse R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Eupen 25.2% | Draw 26.4% | Beerschot Wilrijk 48.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beerschot Wilrijk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (-5%)
Eupen - Beerschot Wilrijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.68 ↑ (3.17) |
3.5 ↑ (3.3) |
1.92 ↓ (2.15) |
8% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Eupen - Beerschot Wilrijk?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Beerschot Wilrijk will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eupen won 4.
- Eupen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Beerschot Wilrijk is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Beerschot Wilrijk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Beerschot Wilrijk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Eupen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Eupen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Eupen won against Beerschot Wilrijk?
Eupen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beerschot Wilrijk won against Eupen?
Beerschot Wilrijk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Eupen - Beerschot Wilrijk were as follows:
16.08.2025
Beerschot Wilrijk
-
Eupen
1:1
Latest results of Beerschot Wilrijk