RFC Liège vs Beerschot Wilrijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 30
  • Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.251.69
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
82
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
56
Passes
80% (342/427)82% (410/499)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.251.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.870.39
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
612
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
1112
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2640
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free kicks
1210
Passes
80% (342/427)82% (410/499)
Long passes
44% (24/55)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
67% (68/101)72% (114/158)
Crosses
36% (10/28)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.121.84
Throw ins
2224
Fouls
1012
Tackles
83% (19/23)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
2725
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
17
xGOT faced
0.390.87
Goals prevented
-0.610.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Vula A. , Guendouz S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Guendouz S. 🟨,
  • 61', De Sart A. 🟨,
  • 62', Shkurti K. , Arslan A. ,
  • 62', De Sart A. , Ruiz Atil K. ,
  • 65', Sanusi R. 🟨,
  • 70', Nilton , Claes G. ,
  • 77', Mouchamps D. , Hazard K. ,
  • 77', Guendouz S. , Van Eenoo L. ,
  • 80', Bustin J. 🟨,
  • 86', Gedikli E. , Almamy S. K. ,
  • 86', Lucker L. , Lefebvre A. ,
  • 90+2', Masui K. , Van Himbeeck A. ,
  • 90+3', Van den Eynden B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


RFC Liège
30.7%
Draw
26.3%
Beerschot Wilrijk
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 26.8% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 26.4% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • RFC Liège - Beerschot Wilrijk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (3.04)
    3.55
    (3.4)
    2.16
    (2.1)
    7.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for RFC Liège - Beerschot Wilrijk?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. RFC Liège will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 1.
    • Recent performances by RFC Liège have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Beerschot Wilrijk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • RFC Liège may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Beerschot Wilrijk could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RFC Liège - Beerschot Wilrijk were as follows:
    28.11.2025 Beerschot Wilrijk - RFC Liège 3:0
    30.10.2024 Beerschot Wilrijk - RFC Liège 3:1
    04.02.2024 RFC Liège - Beerschot Wilrijk 1:4
    26.11.2023 Beerschot Wilrijk - RFC Liège 3:0
    Latest results of RFC Liège
    27.02.2026 Kortrijk - RFC Liège 3:1
    20.02.2026 RFC Liège - Brugge U23 3:2
    14.02.2026 Genk U23 - RFC Liège 2:0
    06.02.2026 RFC Liège - Lierse 2:1
    Latest results of Beerschot Wilrijk