Result
0:1
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 30
- Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (342/427) | 82% (410/499) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (342/427) | 82% (410/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 41% (23/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (68/101) | 72% (114/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (19/23) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Vula A. ⚽, Guendouz S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Guendouz S. 🟨,
- 61', De Sart A. 🟨,
- 62', Shkurti K. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
- 62', De Sart A. ↓, Ruiz Atil K. ↑,
- 65', Sanusi R. 🟨,
- 70', Nilton ↓, Claes G. ↑,
- 77', Mouchamps D. ↓, Hazard K. ↑,
- 77', Guendouz S. ↓, Van Eenoo L. ↑,
- 80', Bustin J. 🟨,
- 86', Gedikli E. ↓, Almamy S. K. ↑,
- 86', Lucker L. ↓, Lefebvre A. ↑,
- 90+2', Masui K. ↓, Van Himbeeck A. ↑,
- 90+3', Van den Eynden B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
RFC Liège 30.7% | Draw 26.3% | Beerschot Wilrijk 43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
RFC Liège - Beerschot Wilrijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↓ (3.04) |
3.55 ↑ (3.4) |
2.16 ↑ (2.1) |
7.8% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RFC Liège - Beerschot Wilrijk?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. RFC Liège will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 1.
- Recent performances by RFC Liège have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Beerschot Wilrijk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- RFC Liège may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Beerschot Wilrijk could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against Beerschot Wilrijk?
RFC Liège has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beerschot Wilrijk won against RFC Liège?
Beerschot Wilrijk has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFC Liège - Beerschot Wilrijk were as follows:
28.11.2025
Beerschot Wilrijk
-
RFC Liège
3:0
30.10.2024
Beerschot Wilrijk
-
RFC Liège
3:1
04.02.2024
RFC Liège
-
Beerschot Wilrijk
1:4
26.11.2023
Beerschot Wilrijk
-
RFC Liège
3:0
Latest results of RFC Liège
Latest results of Beerschot Wilrijk