Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Relegation Group - Round 5
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (352/440) | 83% (424/510) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (352/440) | 83% (424/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (36/70) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (92/139) | 71% (72/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Bertaccini A. ⚽, Vanwesemael R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', van der Kust D. ↓, Tshimanga D. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Bertaccini A. ⚽, Patris L. (A),
- 77', Colassin A. ↓, Reyners T. ↑,
- 77', Al Sahafi M. ↓, Kosiah A. ↑,
- 83', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 83', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Cagro W. ↑,
- 83', Sahabo H. ↓, Huiberts D. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Cagro W. (Pen),
- 89', Bertaccini A. ↓, Komori H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sint-Truidense
65.5% | Draw
19.4% | Beerschot Wilrijk
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-19.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sint-Truidense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beerschot Wilrijk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sint-Truidense - Beerschot Wilrijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.54) |
4.84 ↑
(4.48) |
6.32 ↑
(5.4) |
5.8%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - Beerschot Wilrijk?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 65% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Sint-Truidense (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 5.
- In recent matches, Sint-Truidense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Beerschot Wilrijk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sint-Truidense is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Belaid Z.
(Inactive)
Taniguchi S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Yamamoto R.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Beerschot Wilrijk: Fayed O.
(Injury)
Sanusi R.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Delpupo I.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:16. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Beerschot Wilrijk?
Sint-Truidense has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beerschot Wilrijk won against Sint-Truidense?
Beerschot Wilrijk has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - Beerschot Wilrijk were as follows:
29.03.2025
Beerschot Wilrijk
-
Sint-Truidense
0:1
07.03.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
Beerschot Wilrijk
2:0
21.09.2024
Beerschot Wilrijk
-
Sint-Truidense
0:1
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Latest results of Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
