Beibit Zhukayev vs Corentin Denolly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
08/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
119
Double Faults
125
1st serve percentage
57%59%
1st serve points won
76% (42/55)70% (33/47)
2nd serve points won
44% (18/41)53% (17/32)
Break Points Saved
6/83/6
1st return points won
30% (14/47)24% (13/55)
2nd return points won
47% (15/32)56% (23/41)
Break Points Converted
3/62/8
Winners
2426
Unforced errors
4931
Net points won
83% (10/12)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
62% (59/95)64% (50/78)
Return Points Won
36% (28/78)38% (36/95)
Total Points Won
50% (87/173)50% (86/173)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
83% (10/12)75% (9/12)
Return games won
25% (3/12)17% (2/12)
Total games won
54% (13/24)46% (11/24)

Chances of winning


Beibit Zhukayev
56.1%
Corentin Denolly
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beibit Zhukayev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beibit Zhukayev that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corentin Denolly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Beibit Zhukayev - Corentin Denolly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.73)

    2.13
    (1.98)
    7%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 340. Denolly is ranked ATP: 496.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Denolly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Zhukayev will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Beibit Zhukayev
    Latest results of Corentin Denolly