Beibit Zhukayev vs Facundo Mena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
17/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
514
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
68%61%
1st serve points won
64% (23/36)73% (24/33)
2nd serve points won
53% (9/17)76% (16/21)
Break Points Saved
5/84/4
1st return points won
33% (11/33)36% (13/36)
2nd return points won
24% (5/21)47% (8/17)
Break Points Converted
0/43/8
Winners
1127
Unforced errors
2118
Net points won
54% (7/13)80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
60% (32/53)74% (40/54)
Return Points Won
26% (14/54)40% (21/53)
Total Points Won
43% (46/107)57% (61/107)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return games won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Beibit Zhukayev
58.4%
Facundo Mena
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 49.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beibit Zhukayev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beibit Zhukayev that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Mena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Beibit Zhukayev - Facundo Mena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.66)

    2.24
    (2.1)
    8%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Beibit Zhukayev - Facundo Mena?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zhukayev will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Mena will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 290. Mena is ranked ATP: 336.
    • Recent performances by Zhukayev have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mena has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Zhukayev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Zhukayev could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Beibit Zhukayev
    Latest results of Facundo Mena
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gomez F. A. (1)Martin D.1 : 2
    2Zhukayev B.Mena F.0 : 2
    3Delaney Ja. (Q)Daniel T.0 : 2
    4Mayo A. (PR)Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Crawford O. (3)Wiskandt M.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A. (Alt)Smith K.2 : 1
    7Catry R. (Q)Hayen A. (WC)0 : 2
    8Ursu V.Martin A. (8)1 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (7)Magadan A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Mmoh M.Rubio Fierros A. F. (Q)2 : 0
    11Shah A.Alujas R. (WC)2 : 1
    12Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (4)2 : 0
    13Huesler M. (5)Yuzuki T. (Q)2 : 1
    14Hernandez A.Colson T. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zink T.Polmans M.2 : 0
    16Tobon M. (Q)Ficovich J. P.2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Martin D.Mena F.0 : 2
    2Daniel T.Andrade A. (6)2 : 1
    3Crawford O. (3)Ayeni A.1 : 2
    4Hayen A.Martin A. (8)1 : 2
    5Kozlov S. (7)Mmoh M.0 : 2
    6Shah A. (RET.)Pacheco Mendez R.0 : 1
    7Huesler M. (5)Hernandez A.2 : 0
    8Zink T.Tobon M.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Mena F.Daniel T.0 : 2
    2Ayeni A.Martin A. (8)0 : 2
    3Mmoh M.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 1
    4Huesler M. (5)Zink T.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Daniel T.Martin A. (8)2 : 1
    2Mmoh M.Zink T.2 : 1

    Final
    1Daniel T.Mmoh M.1 : 2