Result
 
                    1:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        19/07/2025 at  07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Super League - Round 17
- Referee: Ma Ning (Chn)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App | 
|  China | Migu | 
|  Russia | Telekanal Futbol | 
|  Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.97 | 4.75 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 72% | 28% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 24 | 32 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 14 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 10 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 16 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (1050/1230) | 72% (354/494) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.97 | 4.75 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.14 | 5.80 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 24 | 32 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 14 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 12 | 8 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 10 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 12 | 24 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 12 | 8 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 10 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 16 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 58 | 52 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 4 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 28 | 30 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (1050/1230) | 72% (354/494) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 75% (114/152) | 32% (38/118) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 74% (340/462) | 56% (58/104) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 13% (10/78) | 43% (6/14) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.02 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 36 | 26 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 30 | 28 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 38% (12/32) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 114 | 92 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 22 | 102 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 20 | 34 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 8 | 0 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 5.80 | 0.14 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.20 | -1.86 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Asue L. ⚽, Gao Tianyi (A), 
- 21', 0 - 2, Wu Xi ⚽, 
- 26', 1 - 2, Guga ⚽, 
- 35', Yang Haoyu 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Yang Haoyu ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑, 
- 46', Gao Tianyi ↓, Amadou I. ↑, 
- 51', Wang Gang 🟨, 
- 59', Asue L. ↓, Liu Chengyu ↑, 
- 62', Yennaris N. 🟨, 
- 77', Cao Yongjing ↓, Lin Liangming ↑, 
- 77', Wang Gang ↓, Fang Hao ↑, 
- 77', Liu Chengyu ↓, Yu Hanchao ↑, 
- 78', Serginho ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑, 
- 78', Dawhan ↓, Fan Shuangjie ↑, 
- 90', Wu Shaocong ↓, Muhmet N. ↑, 
- 90', Chan Shinichi ↓, Yang Zexiang ↑, 
- 90+5', Yu Hanchao 🟨, 
- 90+8', 1 - 3, Yu Hanchao ⚽, Wu Xi (A), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Beijing Guoan 43.1%
 | Draw 27.9%
 | Shanghai Shenhua 29.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.18 ↓ (2.49)
 | 3.38 ↑ (3.1)
 | 3.19 ↑ (2.97)
 | 6.8% (6.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Beijing Guoan will win 
                    (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beijing Guoan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.
- Beijing Guoan has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Shanghai Shenhua is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Shanghai Shenhua has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Shanghai Shenhua?
                    
                    
                        
                            Beijing Guoan has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Shanghai Shenhua won against Beijing Guoan?
                    
                    
                        
                             Shanghai Shenhua has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua were as follows:
                                                        
                                01.03.2025 
                                Shanghai Shenhua 
                                - 
                                Beijing Guoan 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.08.2024 
                                Shanghai Shenhua 
                                - 
                                Beijing Guoan 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                04.08.2024 
                                Beijing Guoan 
                                - 
                                Shanghai Shenhua 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.04.2024 
                                Shanghai Shenhua 
                                - 
                                Beijing Guoan 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.08.2023 
                                Beijing Guoan 
                                - 
                                Shanghai Shenhua 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Beijing Guoan                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Shanghai Shenhua                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Chinese Super League Table
2025|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 68:44 | 24 | 60 | 
| 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 58:25 | 33 | 59 | 
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63:34 | 29 | 58 | 
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 60:45 | 15 | 51 | 
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 62:44 | 18 | 47 | 
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 44 | 
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 58:46 | 12 | 41 | 
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:51 | -6 | 38 | 
| 9 | Qingdao West Coast | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 | 
| 10 | Dalian Yingbo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 28:42 | -14 | 35 | 
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 33 | 
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 34:57 | -23 | 26 | 
| 13 | Wuhan Three Towns | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:56 | -23 | 25 | 
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 32:46 | -14 | 21 | 
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:64 | -31 | 20 | 
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 | 
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ League One