Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/07/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Workers' Stadium (Beijing).

Super League - Round 17
Referee: Ma Ning (Chn)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
China	Migu
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Spain	Gol Play, GolStadium

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.97	4.75
Ball Possession
72%	28%
Total shots
24	32
Shots on target
2	14
Big Chances
0	10
Corner Kicks
16	4
Passes
85% (1050/1230)	72% (354/494)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97	4.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.14	5.80
Total shots
24	32
Shots on target
2	14
Shots off target
12	8
Blocked Shots
10	10
Shots inside the Box
12	24
Shots outside the Box
12	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
0	10
Corner Kicks
16	4
Touches in opposition box
58	52
Accurate through passes
0	4
Offsides
4	6
Free Kicks
28	30
Passes
85% (1050/1230)	72% (354/494)
Long passes
75% (114/152)	32% (38/118)
Passes in final third
74% (340/462)	56% (58/104)
Crosses
13% (10/78)	43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.18	2.02
Throw-ins
36	26
Fouls
30	28
Tackles
48% (20/42)	38% (12/32)
Duels won
114	92
Clearances
22	102
Interceptions
20	34
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
8	0
xGOT faced
5.80	0.14
Goals prevented
-0.20	-1.86

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Asue L. ⚽, Gao Tianyi (A),
21', 0 - 2, Wu Xi ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Guga ⚽,
35', Yang Haoyu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yang Haoyu ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
46', Gao Tianyi ↓, Amadou I. ↑,
51', Wang Gang 🟨,
59', Asue L. ↓, Liu Chengyu ↑,
62', Yennaris N. 🟨,
77', Cao Yongjing ↓, Lin Liangming ↑,
77', Wang Gang ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
77', Liu Chengyu ↓, Yu Hanchao ↑,
78', Serginho ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
78', Dawhan ↓, Fan Shuangjie ↑,
90', Wu Shaocong ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
90', Chan Shinichi ↓, Yang Zexiang ↑,
90+5', Yu Hanchao 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 3, Yu Hanchao ⚽, Wu Xi (A),

Chances of winning

Beijing Guoan
43.1%

Draw
27.9%

Shanghai Shenhua
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

30%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.49)	3.38 ↑ (3.1)	3.19 ↑ (2.97)	6.8% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua?

Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beijing Guoan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.
Beijing Guoan has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Shanghai Shenhua is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Shanghai Shenhua has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Shanghai Shenhua?

Beijing Guoan has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shanghai Shenhua won against Beijing Guoan?

Shanghai Shenhua has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua were as follows:

01.03.2025 Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan 2:2

22.08.2024 Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan 2:1

04.08.2024 Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua 2:1

13.04.2024 Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan 1:1

19.08.2023 Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua 2:1

Latest results of Beijing Guoan

30.06.2025 Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun 2:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan 0:4 ✺

21.06.2025 Dalian Young Boy - Beijing Guoan 1:2 ✺

17.06.2025 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast 1:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Shanghai Shenhua

29.06.2025 Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua 1:2 ✺

25.06.2025 Shanghai Shenhua - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 3:0 ✺

22.06.2025 Shanghai Port - Shanghai Shenhua 2:3 ✺

14.06.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Shanghai Shenhua 3:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Wuxi Wugou - Shanghai Shenhua 0:3 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Shenhua	19	14	3	2	46:23	23	45
2	Shanghai Port	19	12	5	2	45:25	20	41
3	Chengdu Rongcheng	19	12	4	3	37:16	21	40
4	Beijing Guoan	18	11	5	2	38:20	18	38
5	Shandong Taishan	19	8	4	7	37:31	6	28
6	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	18	8	4	6	25:27	-2	28
7	Zhejiang Professional	18	7	5	6	35:28	7	26
8	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	5	7	30:32	-2	26
9	Qingdao West Coast	19	6	8	5	26:28	-2	26
10	Dalian Yingbo	18	7	5	6	19:24	-5	26
11	Wuhan Three Towns	18	5	5	8	25:34	-9	20
12	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	18	5	2	11	22:38	-16	17
13	Henan Songshan Longmen	19	4	4	11	28:35	-7	16
14	Meizhou Hakka	19	3	4	12	24:43	-19	13
15	Qingdao Hainiu	18	2	5	11	15:29	-14	11
16	Changchun Yatai	18	2	2	14	15:34	-19	8

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Jia League