Result
1:3
19/07/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 17
- Referee: Ma Ning (Chn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 China | Migu |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 4.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (1050/1230) | 72% (354/494) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 4.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 5.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 58 | 52 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (1050/1230) | 72% (354/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 75% (114/152) | 32% (38/118) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (340/462) | 56% (58/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (10/78) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 38% (12/32) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 114 | 92 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 102 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 5.80 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -1.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Asue L. ⚽, Gao Tianyi (A),
- 21', 0 - 2, Wu Xi ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 2, Guga ⚽,
- 35', Yang Haoyu 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Yang Haoyu ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
- 46', Gao Tianyi ↓, Amadou I. ↑,
- 51', Wang Gang 🟨,
- 59', Asue L. ↓, Liu Chengyu ↑,
- 62', Yennaris N. 🟨,
- 77', Cao Yongjing ↓, Lin Liangming ↑,
- 77', Wang Gang ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
- 77', Liu Chengyu ↓, Yu Hanchao ↑,
- 78', Serginho ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
- 78', Dawhan ↓, Fan Shuangjie ↑,
- 90', Wu Shaocong ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
- 90', Chan Shinichi ↓, Yang Zexiang ↑,
- 90+5', Yu Hanchao 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 3, Yu Hanchao ⚽, Wu Xi (A),
Chances of winning
Beijing Guoan
43.1% | Draw
27.9% | Shanghai Shenhua
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.49) |
3.38 ↑
(3.1) |
3.19 ↑
(2.97) |
6.8%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua?
Users Predictions:
Beijing Guoan will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beijing Guoan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.
- Beijing Guoan has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Shanghai Shenhua is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Shanghai Shenhua has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Shanghai Shenhua?
Beijing Guoan has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shanghai Shenhua won against Beijing Guoan?
Shanghai Shenhua has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua were as follows:
01.03.2025
Shanghai Shenhua
-
Beijing Guoan
2:2
22.08.2024
Shanghai Shenhua
-
Beijing Guoan
2:1
04.08.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Shanghai Shenhua
2:1
13.04.2024
Shanghai Shenhua
-
Beijing Guoan
1:1
19.08.2023
Beijing Guoan
-
Shanghai Shenhua
2:1
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Latest results of Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 52:28 | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 47 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 47:26 | 21 | 45 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Professional | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 34 |
| 7 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 29 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:34 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 37:40 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 13 | Meizhou Hakka | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 28:47 | -19 | 17 |
| 14 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 26:50 | -24 | 17 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18:36 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
