Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

MMA Welterweight UFC Men
Result
Machado Garry I. win
22/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WELTERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFranceRMC Sport 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 3

Chances of winning


Belal Muhammad
28.7%		Ian Machado Garry
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 63.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belal Muhammad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belal Muhammad's form might have worsened.
  • Ian Machado Garry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ian Machado Garry's recent form is better than expected.
    •

    Belal Muhammad - Ian Machado Garry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.3 ↑
    (2.64)
    		1.35 ↓
    (1.5)    		 4.7%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Machado Garry is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.
    Latest results of Belal Muhammad
    11.05.2025 Belal Muhammad - Jack Della Maddalena Maddalena J. D. win ✺
    07.12.2024 Belal Muhammad - Shavkat Rakhmonov Canceled
    28.07.2024 Leon Edwards - Belal Muhammad Muhammad B. win ✺
    Latest results of Ian Machado Garry
    26.04.2025 Ian Machado Garry - Carlos Prates Machado Garry I. win ✺
    14.12.2024 Ian Machado Garry - Joaquin Buckley Canceled
    07.12.2024 Shavkat Rakhmonov - Ian Machado Garry Rakhmonov S. win ✺
    29.06.2024 Ian Machado Garry - Michael Page Machado Garry I. win ✺
    17.02.2024 Geoff Neal - Ian Machado Garry Machado Garry I. win ✺
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