Result
4:0
03/10/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 3
- Referee: Tsakalidis A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 12 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Estonia | Go3 Extra Sports |
 Europe | UEFA TV |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Lithuania | Go3 Extra Sports |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SuperSport OTT 5 |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 San-marino | San Marino RTV |
 South-africa | SuperSport OTT 5 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (413/489) | 71% (239/337) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (413/489) | 71% (239/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (46/68) | 49% (34/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (128/168) | 59% (44/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -2.16 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Nanni N. 🟨,
- 42', Golinucci A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Golinucci A. ↓, Mularoni M. ↑,
- 46', Simanenka T. ↓, Lisakovich V. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 0, Kontsevoy A. ⚽, Pechenin K. (A),
- 54', Begunov R. 🟨,
- 55', Begunov R. ↓, Kalinin V. ↑,
- 55', Gromyko V. ↓, Shumansky A. ↑,
- 58', Giacopetti N. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 0, Shumansky A. ⚽, Pechenin K. (A),
- 67', Giocondi S. ↓, Tosi A. ↑,
- 67', Lazzari L. ↓, Pancotti S. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 0, Ebong M. ⚽, Pechenin K. (A),
- 69', Ebong M. ↓, Bocherov V. ↑,
- 73', Capicchioni L. 🟨,
- 74', Melnichenko T. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
- 75', Benvenuti G. ↓, Fabbri F. ↑,
- 78', Pasolini M. 🟨,
- 83', Capicchioni L. ↓, Meloni C. ↑,
- 85', Barkovskiy G. 🟨,
- 86', Kalinin V. 🟨,
- 88', 4 - 0, Kontsevoy A. ⚽, Shumansky A. (A),
Chances of winning
Belarus
88.3% | Draw
8.6% | San Marino
3.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belarus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)San Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Belarus - San Marino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.08 ↓
(1.14) |
11.31 ↑
(8.4) |
31.57 ↑
(26) |
4.5%
(3.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Belarus - San Marino?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Belarus will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). San Marino will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belarus: 54% – 99.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Belarus (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Belarus (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (3.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Belarus (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Illovszky Rudolf Stadion.
- Belarus is ranked FIFA: 96., and San Marino is ranked FIFA: 211..
- The betting markets point to Belarus as the clear and undisputed favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Belarus has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:0 (averaging 3.5:0 goals per game).
How many head-to-head matches has Belarus won against San Marino?
Belarus has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marino won against Belarus?
San Marino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belarus - San Marino were as follows:
Latest results of Belarus
Latest results of San Marino
UEFA Nations League Table
League AGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Spain ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugal ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
UEFA Nations League (Relegation ~ League A/B: )
Relegation ~ UEFA Nations League (League B: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Spain is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Portugal is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
