Amora vs Belenenses – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Amora - Belenenses
30/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Chances of winning


Amora
33.8%
Draw
27%
Belenenses
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 28.1% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 28.6% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amora's form might have worsened.
  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belenenses's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belenenses, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Amora - Belenenses Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.31)
    3.4
    (3.3)
    2.35
    (2.91)
    8.8%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Amora is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Belenenses is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Amora won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Amora won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amora - Belenenses were as follows:
    09.04.2023 Belenenses - Amora 3:0
    21.01.2023 Amora - Belenenses 2:1
    17.09.2022 Belenenses - Amora 3:3
    Latest results of Amora
    23.04.2023 Amora - Sanjoanense 1:2
    15.04.2023 Amora - Vilaverdense 0:2
    09.04.2023 Belenenses - Amora 3:0
    02.04.2023 Sanjoanense - Amora 1:0
    11.03.2023 Amora - Setúbal 2:0
    Latest results of Belenenses
    23.04.2023 Vilaverdense - Belenenses 0:0
    15.04.2023 Sanjoanense - Belenenses 1:3
    09.04.2023 Belenenses - Amora 3:0
    31.03.2023 Belenenses - Vilaverdense 2:0
    11.03.2023 Belenenses - Alverca 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B32012:206
    2Varzim32015:146
    3Trofense31202:025
    4Sanjoanense31202:025
    5Amarante31113:304
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B31114:314
    7AD Marco 0930300:003
    8Paredes30211:2-12
    9AD Fafe30211:3-22
    10Sao Joao Ver30120:6-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas32013:306
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Mafra31113:5-24
    7Lusitano GC31024:313
    8Atletico CP31022:203
    9Academica31022:3-13
    10Covilha30122:4-21

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