Result
3:1
03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, David Rebelo ⚽,
- 45', Nuno Tomas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 1, Marlom Oliveira ⚽,
- 61', Bandarra M. ↓, Morgado T. ↑,
- 62', Cuca ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 70', Furtado E. 🟨,
- 71', Camara B. ↓, Ribeiro E. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Teixeira J. ⚽,
- 77', David Rebelo ↓, Duda ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Horta Leitao D. ⚽,
- 82', Furtado E. ↓, Marques J. ↑,
- 82', Marques F. ↓, Lourenco C. ↑,
- 86', Horta Leitao D. ↓, Valente A. ↑,
- 87', Semedo D. ↓, Barros G. ↑,
- 90+1', Duda 🟨,
Chances of winning
Belenenses
54.7% | Draw
26.7% | Amora
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belenenses's form might have worsened.Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belenenses, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amora than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Belenenses - Amora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.49) |
3.41 ↓
(3.82) |
4.88 ↓
(6.06) |
9.8%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Belenenses - Amora?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Belenenses (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 3.
- Belenenses is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Amora's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Belenenses is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Belenenses will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Belenenses won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Amora?
Belenenses has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amora won against Belenenses?
Amora has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Amora were as follows:
28.09.2025
Amora
-
Belenenses
0:2
30.08.2025
Belenenses
-
Amora
1:0
09.04.2023
Belenenses
-
Amora
3:0
21.01.2023
Amora
-
Belenenses
2:1
17.09.2022
Belenenses
-
Amora
3:3
Latest results of Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Academica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Amarante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Mafra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
