Result
0:2
04/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Carreira R. 🟨,
- 25', Pipo 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Alexandre R. ⚽, Pepo (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 2, Pires Gomes J. R. ⚽,
- 62', Morgado T. ↓, Horta Leitao D. ↑,
- 62', David Rebelo ↓, Souza E. ↑,
- 63', Lopes D. 🟨,
- 64', Lopes D. ↓, Ewandro Santos ↑,
- 68', Alexandre R. ↓, Januario ↑,
- 72', Sambu M. ↓, Duda ↑,
- 72', Afonso A. ↓, Valente A. ↑,
- 78', Duda ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
- 85', Bandarra M. 🟨,
- 86', (Pen),
- 88', 🟨,
- 88', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Belenenses
49.7% | Draw
27.6% | Caldas
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Belenenses - Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.74) |
3.32 ↓
(3.46) |
4.04 ↓
(4.5) |
9.1%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Belenenses - Caldas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Belenenses (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Belenenses may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Caldas has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Belenenses is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Caldas?
Belenenses has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Belenenses?
Caldas has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Caldas were as follows:
03.11.2024
Caldas
-
Belenenses
1:1
02.08.2024
Belenenses
-
Caldas
2:1
19.02.2023
Caldas
-
Belenenses
0:1
06.11.2022
Belenenses
-
Caldas
1:1
Latest results of Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Trofense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Braga B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Amarante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Paredes | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
| 10 | AD Fafe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 3 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Academica | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Amora | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Atletico CP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Mafra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Covilha | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
