Belenenses vs Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Belenenses - Caldas
Result
0:2
04/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Total shots
89
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Carreira R. 🟨,
  • 25', Pipo 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Alexandre R. , Pepo (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', 0 - 2, Pires Gomes J. R. ,
  • 62', Morgado T. , Horta Leitao D. ,
  • 62', David Rebelo , Souza E. ,
  • 63', Lopes D. 🟨,
  • 64', Lopes D. , Ewandro Santos ,
  • 68', Alexandre R. , Januario ,
  • 72', Sambu M. , Duda ,
  • 72', Afonso A. , Valente A. ,
  • 78', Duda , Eduardo W. ,
  • 85', Bandarra M. 🟨,
  • 86', (Pen),
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Belenenses
49.7%
Draw
27.6%
Caldas
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 26.7% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 25.9% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Belenenses - Caldas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.74)
    3.32
    (3.46)
    4.04
    (4.5)
    9.1%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Belenenses - Caldas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Belenenses (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Belenenses may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Caldas has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Belenenses is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Caldas were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Caldas - Belenenses 1:1
    02.08.2024 Belenenses - Caldas 2:1
    19.02.2023 Caldas - Belenenses 0:1
    06.11.2022 Belenenses - Caldas 1:1
    Latest results of Belenenses
    28.09.2025 Amora - Belenenses 0:2
    20.09.2025 Belenenses - Marítimo 2:0
    30.08.2025 Belenenses - Amora 1:0
    23.08.2025 Belenenses - Lusitano GC 1:0
    Latest results of Caldas
    28.09.2025 Caldas - Mafra 1:1
    20.09.2025 Caldas - Fatima 3:0
    14.09.2025 Caldas - 1 Dezembro 2:2
    05.09.2025 Caldas - Portomosense 4:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense843113:6715
    2AD Fafe83329:9012
    3Braga B83327:7012
    4Sanjoanense725010:7311
    5Varzim723210:739
    6AD Marco 0981614:5-19
    7Paredes71518:718
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B81437:8-17
    9Sao Joao Ver81435:12-77
    10Amarante71245:10-55


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses74129:7213
    3Mafra73319:7212
    4Academica740310:5512
    5Atletico CP73048:629
    61u00ba Dezembro72326:10-49
    7Santarem72234:7-38
    8Lusitano GC72148:807
    9Amora72145:8-37
    10Covilha71334:8-46

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