Result
1:2
11/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', Barros E. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Eduardo W. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Goncas ⚽, Tarzan (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 2, Eduardo W. ⚽,
- 61', Eduardo W. 🟨,
- 65', Farinha L. ↓, Chaves G. ↑,
- 66', Januario 🟨,
- 67', David Rebelo ↓, Ze Love ↑,
- 67', Eduardo W. ↓, Duda ↑,
- 74', Goncas ↓, Catarino T. ↑,
- 74', Januario ↓, Alexandre R. ↑,
- 74', Horta Leitao D. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
- 87', Carreira R. ↓, Magalhaes M. ↑,
- 89', Nuno Tomas ↓, Cesinha ↑,
- 89', Paulo D. ↓, Valente A. ↑,
- 90+1', Pipo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caldas
27.1% | Draw
29.8% | Belenenses
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Caldas - Belenenses Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↑
(3.18) |
3.07 ↑
(2.95) |
2.12 ↓
(2.23) |
9.6%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Caldas - Belenenses?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Belenenses (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Belenenses will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Caldas has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Belenenses is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Belenenses will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Belenenses will win today's game, with odds of 2.17.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caldas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Belenenses?
Caldas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Caldas?
Belenenses has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caldas - Belenenses were as follows:
04.10.2025
Belenenses
-
Caldas
0:2
03.11.2024
Caldas
-
Belenenses
1:1
02.08.2024
Belenenses
-
Caldas
2:1
19.02.2023
Caldas
-
Belenenses
0:1
06.11.2022
Belenenses
-
Caldas
1:1
Latest results of Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
