Setúbal vs Belenenses – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Setúbal - Belenenses
Result
5:2
05/03/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 21

Chances of winning


Setúbal
37.4%
Draw
27.7%
Belenenses
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 28.1% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 29.3% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Setúbal - Belenenses Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.66)
    3.3
    (3.41)
    2.62
    (2.67)
    9.4%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Setúbal is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
    • Setúbal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Belenenses is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Setúbal - Belenenses were as follows:
    27.11.2022 Belenenses - Setúbal 2:1
    Latest results of Setúbal
    26.02.2023 Real SC - Setúbal 1:2
    12.02.2023 Alverca - Setúbal 2:0
    28.01.2023 Setúbal - Moncarapachense 2:3
    Latest results of Belenenses
    19.02.2023 Caldas - Belenenses 0:1
    11.02.2023 Belenenses - Fontinhas 6:0
    29.01.2023 Belenenses - Leiria 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B32012:206
    2Varzim32015:146
    3Trofense31202:025
    4Sanjoanense31202:025
    5Amarante31113:304
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B31114:314
    7AD Marco 0930300:003
    8Paredes30211:2-12
    9AD Fafe30211:3-22
    10Sao Joao Ver30120:6-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas32013:306
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Mafra31113:5-24
    7Lusitano GC31024:313
    8Atletico CP31022:203
    9Academica31022:3-13
    10Covilha30122:4-21

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