Result
 
                    5:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        05/03/2023 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 21
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Setúbal  37.4% | Draw  27.7% | Belenenses  34.9% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Setúbal - Belenenses Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.45 ↓ (2.66) | 
			   3.3 ↓ (3.41) | 
			   2.62 ↓ (2.67) | 
			   9.4% (4.4%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Setúbal is Liga 3 (Relegation Group) 
 - Setúbal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Belenenses is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). 
 - Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. 
 - In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
 - Last 1 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Setúbal won against Belenenses?
                    
                    
                        
                            Setúbal has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Setúbal?
                    
                    
                        
                             Belenenses has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Setúbal - Belenenses were as follows:
                                                        
                                27.11.2022 
                                Belenenses 
                                - 
                                Setúbal 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Setúbal                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Belenenses                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Trofense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 | 
| 2 | Braga B | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 15 | 
| 3 | Varzim | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 13 | 
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 | 
| 5 | AD Fafe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 | 
| 6 | Amarante | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 | 
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 8 | Paredes | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 | 
| 9 | AD Marco 09 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 | 
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 8 | 
Group B |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Mafra | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 | 
| 2 | Caldas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 18 | 
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 | 
| 4 | Academica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 | 
| 5 | Amora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 | 
| 6 | Santarem | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 11 | 
| 7 | Atletico CP | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 | 
| 8 | Lusitano GC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 | 
| 9 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 | 
| 10 | Covilha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
      Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )