Result
1:1
29/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (304/378) | 81% (357/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (304/378) | 81% (357/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (67/100) | 63% (82/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 4% (1/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Candia J. ⚽, Mater F. (A),
- 33', Miloc D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Morales G. ↓, Rosane S. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Jara F. ⚽, Sporle A. (A),
- 55', Demartini N. 🟨,
- 61', Miloc D. ↓, Barrios R. ↑,
- 61', Tapia I. ↓, Duarte M. ↑,
- 67', Fernandez N. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
- 79', Compagnucci G. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
- 81', Reyna B. 🟨,
- 90', Lopez L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mater F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barracas Central
33.1% | Draw
34.2% | Belgrano
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belgrano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barracas Central - Belgrano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(2.08) |
2.77 ↓
(3.2) |
2.91 ↓
(3.63) |
5.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Belgrano?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). Belgrano will win (votes: 28 - 71.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 57.7% – 85.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 31 high ROI users predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 22 - 71%). Tie (votes: 9 - 29%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Belgrano (1.91) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DC - Belgrano (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 38 high ROI users predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Tie (votes: 9 - 23.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Barracas Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Barracas Central: Bruera F.
(Yellow Cards)
Lopez L.
(Ankle Injury)
Pianovi F.
(Ankle Injury)
Puig M.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Belgrano: Passerini L.
(Muscle Injury)
Ricca F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sanchez U.
(Muscle Injury)
Velazquez J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Barracas Central won against Belgrano?
Barracas Central has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Barracas Central?
Belgrano has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Belgrano were as follows:
21.11.2024
Barracas Central
-
Belgrano
1:1
06.07.2023
Belgrano
-
Barracas Central
0:2
Latest results of Barracas Central
Latest results of Belgrano
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Platense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Independiente | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Lanus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Instituto | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Tigre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | River Plate | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Barracas Central | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Banfield | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
