River Plate vs Belgrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
05/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
colombiaColombiaESPN
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.150.58
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
53
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
81
Passes
85% (440/520)70% (180/257)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.150.58
xG on target (xGOT)
2.280.32
Total shots
209
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
114
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
127
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
04
Free kicks
1015
Passes
85% (440/520)70% (180/257)
Long passes
40% (19/48)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
73% (97/132)68% (59/87)
Crosses
19% (3/16)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.77
Throw ins
1515
Fouls
1510
Tackles
71% (15/21)83% (15/18)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
1618
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.322.28
Goals prevented
0.32-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Galvan T. ,
  • 45+3', Vina M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', Subiabre I. , Meza J. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Colidio F. , Meza J. (A),
  • 61', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
  • 67', Passerini L. , Velazquez J. ,
  • 67', Vazquez F. , Gutierrez L. ,
  • 73', Vina M. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 73', Colidio F. , Quintero J. ,
  • 74', Maldonado A. 🟨,
  • 78', Rigoni E. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez F. , Hernandes R. ,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Galvan T. , Moreno A. (A),
  • 84', Galvan T. , Pereyra L. ,
  • 84', Driussi S. , Freitas J. ,
  • 90', Rivero L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


River Plate
54.5%
Draw
27.7%
Belgrano
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 26.4% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 25.1% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • The chances for Belgrano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • River Plate - Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.69)
    3.44
    (3.58)
    5.32
    (5.3)
    5.4%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for River Plate - Belgrano?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 50.5%99.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): River Plate will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • River Plate has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Belgrano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, River Plate is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in River Plate: Acuna M. (Yellow Cards) Armani F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Giuliano Galoppo (Ankle Injury) Meza M. (Foot Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Portillo J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Lopez L. (Muscle Injury) Maldonado A. (Hamstring Injury) Sporle A. (Thigh Injury)
    • We predict that River Plate will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Belgrano were as follows:
    18.05.2024 River Plate - Belgrano 3:0
    03.12.2023 River Plate - Belgrano 2:1
    04.02.2023 Belgrano - River Plate 2:1
    Latest results of River Plate
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield1677218:12628
    4Talleres Cordoba1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Instituto1663717:17021
    10Defensa y Justicia1647518:21-319
    11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:22-819
    12Platense1637610:15-516
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1636715:27-1215
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:151434
    2River Plate1692522:121029
    3Argentinos Jrs1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central1684420:16428
    5Belgrano1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1635815:20-514
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)