River Plate vs Belgrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
05/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
colombiaColombiaESPN
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.150.58
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
53
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
81
Passes
85% (440/520)70% (180/257)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.150.58
xG on target (xGOT)
2.280.32
Total shots
209
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
114
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
127
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
04
Free kicks
1015
Passes
85% (440/520)70% (180/257)
Long passes
40% (19/48)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
73% (97/132)68% (59/87)
Crosses
19% (3/16)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.77
Throw ins
1515
Fouls
1510
Tackles
71% (15/21)83% (15/18)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
1618
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.322.28
Goals prevented
0.32-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Galvan T. ,
  • 45+3', Vina M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', Subiabre I. , Meza J. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Colidio F. , Meza J. (A),
  • 61', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
  • 67', Passerini L. , Velazquez J. ,
  • 67', Vazquez F. , Gutierrez L. ,
  • 73', Vina M. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 73', Colidio F. , Quintero J. ,
  • 74', Maldonado A. 🟨,
  • 78', Rigoni E. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez F. , Hernandes R. ,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Galvan T. , Moreno A. (A),
  • 84', Galvan T. , Pereyra L. ,
  • 84', Driussi S. , Freitas J. ,
  • 90', Rivero L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


River Plate
54.5%
Draw
27.7%
Belgrano
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 26.4% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 25.1% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • The chances for Belgrano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • River Plate - Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.69)
    3.44
    (3.58)
    5.32
    (5.3)
    5.4%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for River Plate - Belgrano?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 50.5%99.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): River Plate will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • River Plate has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Belgrano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, River Plate is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in River Plate: Acuna M. (Yellow Cards) Armani F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Giuliano Galoppo (Ankle Injury) Meza M. (Foot Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Portillo J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Lopez L. (Muscle Injury) Maldonado A. (Hamstring Injury) Sporle A. (Thigh Injury)
    • We predict that River Plate will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Belgrano were as follows:
    18.05.2024 River Plate - Belgrano 3:0
    03.12.2023 River Plate - Belgrano 2:1
    04.02.2023 Belgrano - River Plate 2:1
    Latest results of River Plate
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1374215:9625
    2Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    3Lanus1364318:14422
    4Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    5Talleres Cordoba1363414:12221
    6Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    7Defensa y Justicia1347216:12419
    8Independiente1346319:16318
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba133376:16-1012
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Gimnasia L.P1352615:19-417
    11Sarmiento Junin1351711:14-316
    12Banfield1341814:17-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)