Belinda Bencic vs Petra Marcinko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/04/2026 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
51
Double Faults
44
1st serve percentage
57%46%
1st serve points won
78% (25/32)64% (18/28)
2nd serve points won
50% (12/24)33% (11/33)
Break Points Saved
6/85/10
1st return points won
36% (10/28)22% (7/32)
2nd return points won
67% (22/33)50% (12/24)
Break Points Converted
5/102/8
Service Points Won
66% (37/56)48% (30/63)
Return Points Won
52% (33/63)34% (19/56)
Total Points Won
59% (70/119)41% (49/119)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
78% (7/9)44% (4/9)
Return games won
56% (5/9)22% (2/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Belinda Bencic
78.9%
Petra Marcinko
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belinda Bencic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belinda Bencic's performance.
  • Petra Marcinko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petra Marcinko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belinda Bencic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belinda Bencic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petra Marcinko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Belinda Bencic - Petra Marcinko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.31)

    4.52
    (3.26)
    4.9%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Belinda Bencic - Petra Marcinko?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bencic will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bencic is ranked WTA: 12. Marcinko is ranked WTA: 74.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Marcinko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bencic is a strong favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Belinda Bencic
    Latest results of Petra Marcinko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (Q/LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q/LL)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q/LL)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q/LL)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (Q/LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q/LL)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Tauson C. (17)Bye
    38Kalieva E.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q/LL)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q/LL)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q/LL)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q/LL)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q/LL)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q/LL)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Keys M. (16)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q/LL)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)
    19Tauson C. (17)Siniakova K.
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)
    29Keys M. (16)Zhang S.
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1Cristian J. (29)
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bencic B. (11)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Samson L.Bondar A.
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2