Result
5:1
08/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 13
- Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (152/266) | 76% (400/523) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (152/266) | 76% (400/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (18/79) | 53% (40/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (23/54) | 65% (146/223) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 56 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -2.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Goncalves M. ⚽, Vogt W. (A),
- 14', Ato 🟨,
- 16', 2 - 0, Sadiku A. (Pen),
- 34', 3 - 0, Rey A. ⚽, Vogt W. (A),
- 36', Bomo J. 🟨,
- 40', 4 - 0, Mayorga J. ⚽, Vogt W. (A),
- 44', Jashari E. 🟨,
- 45', Sannino G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Afriyie D. ↓, Bobadilla R. ↑,
- 46', Acquah D. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
- 59', 5 - 0, Vogt W. ⚽, Bomo J. (A),
- 60', Koide H. ↓, Obexer L. ↑,
- 60', Guzzo R. ↓, Filet E. ↑,
- 62', Mayorga J. 🟨,
- 65', Rey A. ↓, Shabani M. ↑,
- 71', Mayorga J. ↓, Kury J. ↑,
- 73', Fazliu V. ↓, Frokaj L. ↑,
- 82', Shabani M. 🟨,
- 82', Vogt W. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
- 85', Bobadilla R. 🟨,
- 90+3', 5 - 1, Filet E. ⚽, Obexer L. (A),
Chances of winning
Bellinzona
18.1% | Draw
22.1% | Aarau
59.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Bellinzona - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.17 ↑
(4.38) |
4.24 ↑
(3.76) |
1.56 ↓
(1.66) |
7.1%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bellinzona - Aarau?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bellinzona will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Aarau will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarau (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Promotion League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 1.
- Bellinzona has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Aarau is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Bellinzona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aarau is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Dermaku D.
(Injury)
Lasso J.
(Inactive)
Lymann F.
(Injury)
Mihajlovic D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
Jakob N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bellinzona: Vogt W.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.4:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Aarau?
Bellinzona has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Bellinzona?
Aarau has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Aarau were as follows:
13.08.2025
Aarau
-
Bellinzona
1:0
31.03.2025
Bellinzona
-
Aarau
1:1
01.02.2025
Aarau
-
Bellinzona
2:1
09.11.2024
Bellinzona
-
Aarau
1:4
31.08.2024
Aarau
-
Bellinzona
1:2
Latest results of Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 27:15 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Vaduz | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 30 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Xamax | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:20 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
| 8 | Wil | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 11 |
| 9 | Rapperswil-Jona | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10:29 | -19 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
