Result
1:0
13/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 1
- Referee: von Mandach J. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (294/384) | 78% (290/374) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (294/384) | 78% (290/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (26/53) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (72/128) | 66% (61/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Mihajlovic D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, Fazliu V. (Pen),
- 63', Mayorga J. ↓, Chouik I. ↑,
- 66', Kessler R. ↓, Schwegler S. ↑,
- 66', Zoukit N. 🟨,
- 72', Lopez B. 🟨,
- 73', Vogt W. ↓, Jashari E. ↑,
- 76', Filet E. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
- 76', Derbaci D. ↓, Frokaj L. ↑,
- 84', Sorensen A. 🟨,
- 86', Afriyie D. ↓, Bobadilla R. ↑,
- 86', Zoukit N. ↓, Jakob N. ↑,
- 89', Rey A. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
- 90+3', Chouik I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aarau
62% | Draw
22% | Bellinzona
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aarau's performance.Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bellinzona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Aarau - Bellinzona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.87) |
4.2 ↑
(3.67) |
5.77 ↑
(3.63) |
8.2%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aarau - Bellinzona?
Users Predictions:
Aarau will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aarau will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 2.
- Aarau has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aarau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Aarau has had a series of away games.
- Aarau will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Diarra I.
(Injury)
Sangare M.
(Injury)
Sorensen A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Bellinzona?
Aarau has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Aarau?
Bellinzona has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aarau - Bellinzona were as follows:
31.03.2025
Bellinzona
-
Aarau
1:1
01.02.2025
Aarau
-
Bellinzona
2:1
09.11.2024
Bellinzona
-
Aarau
1:4
31.08.2024
Aarau
-
Bellinzona
1:2
26.04.2024
Aarau
-
Bellinzona
0:2
Latest results of Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Vaduz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 10 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Xamax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 7 | Wil | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:14 | -11 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
