Result
3:1
16/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 35
- Referee: Kanagasingam A. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (234/300) | 81% (301/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.65 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (234/300) | 81% (301/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (26/59) | 57% (28/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (48/65) | 60% (49/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 3.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Nivokazi R. ⚽, Souza Espana C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 0, Souza Espana C. ⚽, Nivokazi R. (A),
- 60', Balaruban A. ↓, Franke D. ↑,
- 61', Balaruban A. ↓, Franke D. ↑,
- 61', Bertone L. ↓, Castroman M. ↑,
- 62', 3 - 0, Nivokazi R. ⚽, Mihajlovic D. (A),
- 66', Matondo H. 🟨,
- 68', 3 - 1, Bamert J. ⚽,
- 71', Meichtry F. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
- 71', Chacon T. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 74', Souza Espana C. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
- 79', Matondo H. ↓, Perrault T. ↑,
- 81', Reichmuth N. ↓, Sessolo H. ↑,
- 89', Lusuena N. ↓, Lymann F. ↑,
- 90+3', Mihajlovic D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bellinzona
28.3% | Draw
25.7% | Thun
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Bellinzona - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(3.2) |
3.59 ↑
(3.4) |
2.01 ↓
(2.08) |
8.2%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Thun is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super League
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 1.
- Bellinzona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Thun is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Thun is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Chukwuemeka C.
(Injury)
Diarra I.
(Injury)
Sabbatini J.
(Yellow Cards)
Sangare M.
(Injury)
Sauter I.
(Yellow Cards)
Sorensen A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Thun: Burki M.
(Inactive)
Matoshi V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tomas M.
(Arm Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Thun?
Bellinzona has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Bellinzona?
Thun has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Thun were as follows:
09.02.2025
Thun
-
Bellinzona
2:0
04.10.2024
Bellinzona
-
Thun
0:0
20.09.2024
Thun
-
Bellinzona
1:2
13.04.2024
Thun
-
Bellinzona
1:0
27.01.2024
Bellinzona
-
Thun
0:0
Latest results of Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bellinzona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Xamax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Etoile-Carouge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Stade Nyonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Aarau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Vaduz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Yverdon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rapperswil-Jona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lausanne Ouchy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
