Ben Mertens vs Jiang Jun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:6
24/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • UK Championship - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Ben Mertens
42%
Jiang Jun
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ben Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Jiang Jun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Mertens than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiang Jun than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Ben Mertens - Jiang Jun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.23)

    1.59
    (1.64)
    8.1%
    (6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mertens is ranked World Ranking: 67. Jun is ranked World Ranking: 97.
    • Mertens has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jun is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Jun is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Jun will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ben Mertens
    Latest results of Jiang Jun
    Draw
    Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trump J.Maguire S.6 : 4
    2Si JiahuiDay R.6 : 0
    3Ding J.Si X.6 : 4
    4Allen M.Donaldson S.1 : 6
    5Williams M.Gilbert D.6 : 4
    6Xiao G.Pang J.2 : 6
    7Wu Y.Holt M.6 : 4
    8Robertson N.Leclercq J.6 : 2
    9Wilson K.Slessor E.4 : 6
    10Hawkins B.Lilley D.6 : 4
    11Selby M.Peifan L.6 : 2
    12O'Sullivan R.Zhou Y.4 : 6
    13Higgins J.Woollaston B.6 : 2
    14Murphy S.Lyu H.6 : 2
    15Wilson G.Zhang A.5 : 6
    16Zhao X.Zehuang L.6 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Trump J.Si Jiahui6 : 3
    2Ding J.Donaldson S.6 : 5
    3Williams M.Pang J.3 : 6
    4Wu Y.Robertson N.1 : 6
    5Slessor E.Hawkins B.0 : 6
    6Selby M.Zhou Y.6 : 2
    7Higgins J.Murphy S.5 : 6
    8Zhang A.Zhao X.6 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trump J.Ding J.6 : 2
    2Pang J.Robertson N.4 : 6
    3Hawkins B.Selby M.2 : 6
    4Murphy S.Zhang A.6 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Trump J.Robertson N.6 : 3
    2Selby M.Murphy S.6 : 3

    Final
    1Trump J.Selby M.8 : 10