Brandon Nakashima vs Ben Shelton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Toronto Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton
Result
1:2
01/08/2025 at 20:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
319
Double Faults
18
1st Serve Percentage
63%62%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (49/66)81% (56/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (21/38)48% (20/42)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
19% (13/69)26% (17/66)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (22/42)45% (17/38)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)38% (3/8)
Winners
1946
Unforced Errors
3047
Net Points Won
84% (16/19)59% (13/22)
Service Points Won
67% (70/104)68% (76/111)
Return Points Won
32% (35/111)33% (34/104)
Total Points Won
49% (105/215)51% (110/215)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
44% (14/32)56% (18/32)

Chances of winning


Brandon Nakashima
31.4%
Ben Shelton
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 69.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.95)

    1.39
    (1.4)
    5.1%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Shelton will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 63.4%93.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ben Shelton will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Shelton is ranked ATP: 7.
    • Nakashima has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shelton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Shelton is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Shelton will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton were as follows:
    12.03.2025 Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton 0:2
    14.01.2025 Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima 3:0
    01.08.2024 Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton 0:2
    05.04.2024 Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima 2:0
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Latest results of Ben Shelton
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Walton A.Bonzi B.2 : 1
    3Schoolkate T. (Q)Fonseca J.2 : 0
    4ByeArnaldi M. (32)
    5Griekspoor T. (24)Bye
    6Herbert P. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    7Martin D. (Q)Munar J.0 : 2
    8ByeCerundolo F. (14)
    9Medvedev D. (10)Bye
    10Blockx A. (Q)Svrcina D. (LL)0 : 2
    11Arseneault N. (WC)Royer V. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByePopyrin A. (18)
    13Muller A. (29)Bye
    14Kecmanovic M.Halys Q.2 : 1
    15Mochizuki S. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    16ByeRune H. (5)
    17Musetti L. (3)Bye
    18Shang J.Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    19Monfils G.Barrios Vera T. (Q)1 : 2
    20ByeMichelsen A. (26)
    21Shapovalov D. (22)Bye
    22Smith C. (Q)Tien L.0 : 2
    23Ofner S. (PR)Opelka R.0 : 2
    24ByeMachac T. (16)
    25Khachanov K. (11)Bye
    26Fearnley J.Ficovich J. P. (Q)0 : 2
    27Nava E. (Q)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    28ByeAtmane T. (LL)
    29Borges N. (30)Bye
    30Bagnis F. (Q)Pospisil V. (WC)2 : 1
    31Safiullin R.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByeRuud C. (8)
    33Tiafoe F. (7)Bye
    34Watanuki Y. (Q)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    35Vukic A.Martinez P.2 : 0
    36ByeNorrie C. (31)
    37Tsitsipas S. (23)Bye
    38O'Connell C.Tseng C. H. (LL)2 : 0
    39Comesana F.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    40ByeDe Minaur A. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (13)Bye
    42Rinderknech A.Galarneau A. (WC)0 : 2
    43Marozsan F.Dellien H.2 : 0
    44ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (25)Bye
    46Quinn E.Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    47Giron M.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeShelton B. (4)
    49Rublev A. (6)Bye
    50Bellucci M. (RET.)Gaston H.1 : 1
    51Kopriva V.Bu Y.0 : 2
    52ByeSonego L. (28)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    54Moutet C.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 0
    55Boyer T. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Fils A. (15)Bye
    58Draxl L. (WC)Carreno-Busta P.1 : 2
    59McDonald M.Goffin D.2 : 0
    60ByeLehecka J. (19)
    61Diallo G. (27)Bye
    62Coric B.Gigante M. (WC)1 : 2
    63Carballes Baena R.Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.)1 : 0
    64ByeFritz T. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Walton A.2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T.Arnaldi M. (32)1 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (24)Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    4Munar J.Cerundolo F. (14)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (10)Svrcina D.2 : 0
    6Arseneault N.Popyrin A. (18)0 : 2
    7Muller A. (29)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    8Mpetshi Perricard G.Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    9Musetti L. (3)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    10Barrios Vera T.Michelsen A. (26)0 : 2
    11Shapovalov D. (22)Tien L.0 : 2
    12Opelka R.Machac T. (16)2 : 1
    13Khachanov K. (11)Ficovich J. P.2 : 0
    14Nava E.Atmane T.2 : 0
    15Borges N. (30)Bagnis F.2 : 1
    16Safiullin R.Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    17Tiafoe F. (7)Watanuki Y.2 : 1
    18Vukic A.Norrie C. (31)2 : 1
    19Tsitsipas S. (23)O'Connell C.1 : 2
    20Comesana F.De Minaur A. (9)0 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (13)Galarneau A.2 : 1
    22Marozsan F.Auger-Aliassime F. (21)2 : 0
    23Nakashima B. (25)Quinn E.2 : 0
    24Mannarino A.Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    25Rublev A. (6)Gaston H.2 : 0
    26Bu Y.Sonego L. (28)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Moutet C.2 : 0
    28Boyer T.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Fils A. (15)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    30McDonald M.Lehecka J. (19)0 : 2
    31Diallo G. (27)Gigante M.2 : 0
    32Carballes Baena R.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Arnaldi M. (32)2 : 1
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cerundolo F. (14)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (10)Popyrin A. (18)1 : 2
    4Muller A. (29)Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (3)Michelsen A. (26)1 : 2
    6Tien L.Opelka R.2 : 0
    7Khachanov K. (11)Nava E.2 : 1
    8Borges N. (30)Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (7)Vukic A.2 : 1
    10O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (WO.) (9)
    11Cobolli F. (13)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    12Nakashima B. (25)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
    13Rublev A. (6)Sonego L. (28)2 : 1
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Mensik J. (12)2 : 0
    15Fils A. (15)Lehecka J. (19)1 : 2
    16Diallo G. (27)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (14)
    2Popyrin A. (18)Rune H. (5)
    3Michelsen A. (26)Tien L.
    4Khachanov K. (11)Ruud C. (8)
    5Tiafoe F. (7)De Minaur A. (9)
    6Cobolli F. (13)Shelton B. (4)
    7Rublev A. (6)Davidovich Fokina A. (20)
    8Lehecka J. (19)Fritz T. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2