Bendigo Spirit vs Adelaide Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
75:67
19/12/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WNBL Women - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9Now, ESPN

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6161
Field Goals Made
2625
Field Goals %
42.62%40.98%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3338
2-Point Field Goals Made
1816
2-Point Field Goals %
54.55%42.11%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2823
3-Point Field Goals Made
89
3-Point Field Goals %
28.57%39.13%
Free Throws Attempted
1912
Free Throws Made
158
Free Throws %
78.9%66.7%
Offensive Rebounds
98
Defensive Rebounds
2927
Total Rebounds
3835
Assists
915
Blocks
54
Turnovers
1418
Steals
125
Personal Fouls
1215

Chances of winning


Bendigo Spirit
74%
Adelaide Lightning
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.8% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bendigo Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Adelaide Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (1.2)

    3.57
    (4.2)
    7.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 150.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 152, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 78:72.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bendigo won 5.
    • Bendigo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Adelaide has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bendigo is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Bendigo will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bendigo won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1043:900. (average 74.5:64.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bendigo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 558:498. (average 79.7:71.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning 71:65
    18.11.2025 Adelaide Lightning - Bendigo Spirit 74:82
    24.01.2025 Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning 65:59
    27.12.2024 Adelaide Lightning - Bendigo Spirit 67:95
    02.11.2024 Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning 84:70
    Latest results of Bendigo Spirit
    Latest results of Adelaide Lightning
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Townsville W (1)Southside W (4)2 : 1
    2Perth Lynx W (2)Bendigo W (3)2 : 0

    Final
    1Townsville W (1)Perth Lynx W (2)1 : 0